Who is the top quarterback for Week 10?

Joe Burrow (CIN), projected 26.7 Half-PPR · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 9.2 to 43.8.

Who is the top running back for Week 10?

Jahmyr Gibbs (DET), projected 16.8 Half-PPR · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 6.7 to 31.7.

Who is the top wide receiver for Week 10?

Puka Nacua (LA), projected 16.0 Half-PPR · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 5.8 to 34.2.

Who is the top tight end for Week 10?

Brock Bowers (LV), projected 10.5 Half-PPR · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 2.9 to 24.3.

Who is the top kicker for Week 10?

Tyler Bass (BUF), projected 9.0 Half-PPR · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 3.0 to 17.0.

Who is the top defense for Week 10?

Green Bay Packers D/ST (GB), projected 8.0 Half-PPR · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 2.0 to 17.0.

What do the floor and ceiling mean?

They are the 10th and 90th percentiles of Kelly's 10,000 simulated games for each player: he scores below his floor in 1 game in 10 and above his ceiling in 1 game in 10. The projection is the median.

What is points over replacement?

A player's points minus the replacement player's at his position: the last starter in a 12-team league (QB12, RB24, WR36, TE12, K12, DST12). It puts every position on one scale for flex and trade decisions.

Fantasy football Week 10 rankings, Half-PPR · 6-pt pass TD

Week 10 of the 2026 NFL season · byes: CHI, DEN, PHI, TB

Joe Burrow is Kelly's top Week 10 quarterback at 26.7 projected Half-PPR · 6-pt pass TD points (range 9.2 to 43.8). 486 players are ranked across 6 positions; CHI, DEN, PHI, TB are on bye.

Week 10 rankings, Half-PPR · 6-pt pass TD (486)

Showing (200) of (486) · Now · Sorted by Proj, high to low · Compared with players at the same position (486 players)

Player	Pos	Team	Pos rank	Proj	Floor	Ceiling	Range	Over repl.	Play %	Status	Opp
Joe Burrow	QB	CIN	1	26.7	9.2	43.8	34.6	8.3	96.1%	Not listed	vs PIT
Drake Maye	QB	NE	2	24.4	7.6	41.4	33.8	6	96.1%	Not listed	at DET
Josh Allen	QB	BUF	3	22.4	7.5	38.6	31.1	4	96.1%	Not listed	at NYJ
Brock Purdy	QB	SF	4	22.1	7.3	37.6	30.3	3.7	96.1%	Not listed	at DAL
Jordan Love	QB	GB	5	21.2	6.8	36.6	29.8	2.8	96.1%	Not listed	vs MIN
Trevor Lawrence	QB	JAX	6	21.1	6.6	36.5	29.9	2.7	96.1%	Not listed	at TEN
C.J. Stroud	QB	HOU	7	20.8	6.5	36.1	29.6	2.4	96.1%	Not listed	at CLE
Dak Prescott	QB	DAL	8	19.5	6.1	34.4	28.3	1.1	96.1%	Not listed	vs SF
Tyler Shough	QB	NO	9	18.8	5.9	33.4	27.5	0.4	96.1%	Not listed	vs CAR
Jayden Daniels	QB	WAS	10	18.7	7.1	32.2	25.1	0.3	96.7%	Not listed	at NYG
Bryce Young	QB	CAR	11	18.5	5.4	33.3	27.9	0.1	96.1%	Not listed	at NO
Kirk Cousins	QB	LV	12	18.4	5	32.6	27.6	0	96.1%	Not listed	vs SEA
Matthew Stafford	QB	LA	13	18.2	5.4	33	27.6	-0.2	96.1%	Not listed	at ARI
Jared Goff	QB	DET	14	17.8	5.6	31.8	26.2	-0.6	96.1%	Not listed	vs NE
Patrick Mahomes	QB	KC	15	17.2	5.2	31.4	26.2	-1.2	96.1%	Not listed	at ATL
Jahmyr Gibbs	RB	DET	1	16.8	6.7	31.7	25	7.9	100%	Not listed	vs NE
Puka Nacua	WR	LA	1	16	5.8	34.2	28.4	10.2	99.6%	Not listed	at ARI
Aaron Rodgers	QB	PIT	16	15.8	4.4	29.4	25	-2.6	96.1%	Not listed	at CIN
James Cook	RB	BUF	2	15.8	6.2	30.5	24.3	6.9	100%	Not listed	at NYJ
Geno Smith	QB	NYJ	17	15.6	4.5	29	24.5	-2.8	96.1%	Not listed	vs BUF
Kenneth Walker III	RB	KC	3	15.4	6.1	29.3	23.2	6.5	100%	Not listed	at ATL
Michael Penix Jr.	QB	ATL	18	15.2	3.9	28.2	24.3	-3.2	96.1%	Not listed	vs KC
Christian McCaffrey	RB	SF	4	15	5.3	29.9	24.6	6.1	100%	Not listed	at DAL
Malik Willis	QB	MIA	19	14.5	2.9	27.4	24.5	-3.9	96.1%	Not listed	at IND
Cam Ward	QB	TEN	20	14.3	4.1	26.3	22.2	-4.1	96.1%	Not listed	vs JAX
Jaylen Warren	RB	PIT	5	14.1	5.9	26.8	20.9	5.2	100%	Not listed	at CIN
CeeDee Lamb	WR	DAL	2	14	4.7	30.4	25.7	8.2	99.6%	Not listed	vs SF
Bijan Robinson	RB	ATL	6	14	5.9	26.7	20.8	5.1	100%	Not listed	vs KC
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	WR	SEA	3	13.8	4.5	30.7	26.2	8	99.6%	Not listed	at LV
Tony Pollard	RB	TEN	7	13.7	5.1	27.2	22.1	4.8	100%	Not listed	vs JAX
Drew Lock	QB	SEA	21	13.7	3.9	26.7	22.8	-4.7	96.1%	Not listed	at LV
Chuba Hubbard	RB	CAR	8	13.6	5.4	26.4	21	4.7	100%	Not listed	at NO
Daniel Jones	QB	IND	22	13.4	3.2	25.1	21.9	-5	96.1%	Not listed	vs MIA
Javonte Williams	RB	DAL	9	13.3	4.9	26.1	21.2	4.4	100%	Not listed	vs SF
Ja'Marr Chase	WR	CIN	4	12.7	4.1	27.9	23.8	6.9	99.6%	Not listed	vs PIT
Justin Herbert	QB	LAC	23	12.3	3.2	23.1	19.9	-6.1	96.1%	Not listed	at BAL
Shedeur Sanders	QB	CLE	24	12.2	2.8	23.2	20.4	-6.2	96.1%	Not listed	vs HOU
Tee Higgins	WR	CIN	5	12.1	3.7	26.5	22.8	6.3	99.6%	Not listed	vs PIT
Carson Wentz	QB	MIN	25	11.8	2.2	23.5	21.3	-6.6	96.1%	Not listed	at GB
Kyren Williams	RB	LA	10	11.6	4.3	23.1	18.8	2.7	100%	Not listed	at ARI
Jonathan Taylor	RB	IND	11	11.4	4.1	23	18.9	2.5	100%	Not listed	vs MIA
Christian Watson	WR	GB	6	11.1	3.4	25.9	22.5	5.3	99.6%	Not listed	vs MIN
Bhayshul Tuten	RB	JAX	12	11.1	3.3	23.7	20.4	2.2	99.3%	Not listed	at TEN
Malik Nabers	WR	NYG	7	11	3.8	24.6	20.8	5.2	99.6%	Not listed	vs WAS
Matthew Golden	WR	GB	7	11	3.5	25.5	22	5.2	99.6%	Not listed	vs MIN
Amon-Ra St. Brown	WR	DET	9	10.7	3.7	23.9	20.2	4.9	99.6%	Not listed	vs NE
Brock Bowers	TE	LV	1	10.5	2.9	24.3	21.4	4.9	99.8%	Not listed	vs SEA
Braelon Allen	RB	NYJ	13	10.5	4.1	21.6	17.5	1.6	100%	Not listed	vs BUF
Derrick Henry	RB	BAL	14	10.1	3.6	20.9	17.3	1.2	100%	Not listed	vs LAC
Zach Charbonnet	RB	SEA	14	10.1	3.2	21.7	18.5	1.2	100%	Not listed	at LV
J.J. McCarthy	QB	NYG	26	9.9	3.2	20.1	16.9	-8.5	96.7%	Not listed	vs WAS
Chris Olave	WR	NO	10	9.8	3.2	22.3	19.1	4	99.6%	Not listed	vs CAR
Deshaun Watson	QB	CLE	27	9.7	0	23.4	23.4	-8.7	69.1%	Not listed	vs HOU
Audric Estime	RB	NO	16	9.7	2.7	21.3	18.6	0.8	99.3%	Not listed	vs CAR
Breece Hall	RB	NYJ	17	9.6	3.4	20.6	17.2	0.7	99.3%	Not listed	vs BUF
Ollie Gordon II	RB	MIA	17	9.6	3.6	20.1	16.5	0.7	100%	Not listed	at IND
Chase Brown	RB	CIN	19	9.4	3.5	19.7	16.2	0.5	100%	Not listed	vs PIT
Omar Cooper Jr.	WR	NYJ	11	9.4	2.9	22	19.1	3.6	99.6%	Not listed	vs BUF
Rhamondre Stevenson	RB	NE	20	9.3	3.1	20.1	17	0.4	100%	Not listed	at DET
Trey McBride	TE	ARI	2	9.3	2.9	21.1	18.2	3.7	99.8%	Not listed	vs LA
Tyler Allgeier	RB	ARI	21	9.2	3	20.3	17.3	0.3	100%	Not listed	vs LA
Emanuel Wilson	RB	SEA	22	9.1	0.9	20	19.1	0.2	91%	Not listed	at LV
Tetairoa McMillan	WR	CAR	12	9.1	2.9	21.2	18.3	3.3	99.6%	Not listed	at NO
George Kittle	TE	SF	3	9	2.5	21.2	18.7	3.4	99.8%	Not listed	at DAL
Tyler Bass	K	BUF	1	9	3	17	14	1	99.8%	Not listed	at NYJ
Zay Flowers	WR	BAL	13	9	2.8	20.6	17.8	3.2	99.6%	Not listed	vs LAC
Isaiah Likely	TE	NYG	4	8.9	2.3	20.5	18.2	3.3	99.8%	Not listed	vs WAS
Blake Corum	RB	LA	23	8.9	2.4	20.3	17.9	0	99.3%	Not listed	at ARI
Quinshon Judkins	RB	CLE	23	8.9	2.6	19.8	17.2	0	99.3%	Not listed	vs HOU
Jameson Williams	WR	DET	14	8.6	1.9	21.1	19.2	2.8	99.6%	Not listed	vs NE
Ashton Jeanty	RB	LV	25	8.3	2.5	19.3	16.8	-0.6	100%	Not listed	vs SEA
Gardner Minshew	QB	ARI	28	8.2	0	22.7	22.7	-10.2	96.1%	Not listed	vs LA
Woody Marks	RB	HOU	26	8.2	2.7	18.7	16	-0.7	100%	Not listed	at CLE
Cam Skattebo	RB	NYG	26	8.2	0	19.6	19.6	-0.7	83.5%	Not listed	vs WAS
Drake London	WR	ATL	15	8.1	2.7	19.2	16.5	2.3	99.6%	Not listed	vs KC
Chris Boswell	K	PIT	2	8	2	16	14	0	99.8%	Not listed	at CIN
Ka'imi Fairbairn	K	HOU	2	8	3	17	14	0	99.8%	Not listed	at CLE
Harrison Butker	K	KC	2	8	2	15	13	0	99.8%	Not listed	at ATL
Eddy Pineiro	K	SF	2	8	3	16	13	0	99.8%	Not listed	at DAL
Evan McPherson	K	CIN	2	8	3	17	14	0	99.8%	Not listed	vs PIT
Brandon Aubrey	K	DAL	2	8	3	16	13	0	99.8%	Not listed	vs SF
Jake Bates	K	DET	2	8	2	16	14	0	99.8%	Not listed	vs NE
Cam Little	K	JAX	2	8	3	17	14	0	99.8%	Not listed	at TEN
Spencer Shrader	K	IND	2	8	2	16	14	0	99.8%	Not listed	vs MIA
Andy Borregales	K	NE	2	8	2	15	13	0	99.8%	Not listed	at DET
Trey Smack	K	GB	2	8	2	16	14	0	99.8%	Not listed	vs MIN
Green Bay Packers D/ST	DST	GB	1	8	2	17	15	2	100%	—	vs MIN
Houston Texans D/ST	DST	HOU	1	8	2	16	14	2	100%	—	at CLE
Michael Wilson	WR	ARI	16	7.9	2.1	20.3	18.2	2.1	99.6%	Not listed	vs LA
Parker Washington	WR	JAX	16	7.9	1.8	20.3	18.5	2.1	99.6%	Not listed	at TEN
Rashee Rice	WR	KC	18	7.8	2.1	19.9	17.8	2	99.6%	Not listed	at ATL
Josh Jacobs	RB	GB	28	7.7	1.7	18.5	16.8	-1.2	99.3%	Not listed	vs MIN
Nico Collins	WR	HOU	19	7.6	1.7	19.6	17.9	1.8	99.6%	Not listed	at CLE
Justin Jefferson	WR	MIN	20	7.5	1.9	19.4	17.5	1.7	99.6%	Not listed	at GB
DeMario Douglas	WR	NE	20	7.5	1.7	19.6	17.9	1.7	99.6%	Not listed	at DET
Aaron Jones	RB	MIN	29	7.3	2.2	17.2	15	-1.6	99.3%	Not listed	at GB
Rachaad White	RB	WAS	29	7.3	1.8	18	16.2	-1.6	100%	Not listed	at NYG
Stefon Diggs	WR	WAS	22	7.1	1.6	18.3	16.7	1.3	99.6%	Not listed	at NYG
Rico Dowdle	RB	PIT	31	7.1	1.7	17.2	15.5	-1.8	99.3%	Not listed	at CIN
Tank Dell	WR	HOU	22	7.1	1.6	19.6	18	1.3	99.3%	Not listed	at CLE
Nick Folk	K	ATL	13	7	2	15	13	-1	99.8%	Not listed	vs KC
Brandon McManus	K	LA	13	7	2	15	13	-1	99.8%	Not listed	at ARI
Jason Myers	K	SEA	13	7	2	15	13	-1	99.8%	Not listed	at LV
Alvin Kamara	RB	NO	32	7	1.7	16.9	15.2	-1.9	99.3%	Not listed	vs CAR
Jason Sanders	K	NYJ	13	7	2	16	14	-1	99.8%	Not listed	vs BUF
Joey Slye	K	TEN	13	7	1	15	14	-1	99.8%	Not listed	vs JAX
Matt Gay	K	LV	13	7	2	16	14	-1	99.8%	Not listed	vs SEA
Cameron Dicker	K	LAC	13	7	1	15	14	-1	99.8%	Not listed	at BAL
Andre Szmyt	K	CLE	13	7	1	15	14	-1	99.8%	Not listed	vs HOU
Chad Ryland	K	ARI	13	7	2	15	13	-1	99.8%	Not listed	vs LA
Will Reichard	K	MIN	13	7	1	16	15	-1	99.8%	Not listed	at GB
Ryan Fitzgerald	K	CAR	13	7	2	15	13	-1	99.8%	Not listed	at NO
Dominic Zvada	K	NYG	13	7	2	16	14	-1	99.8%	Not listed	vs WAS
Drew Stevens	K	WAS	13	7	2	15	13	-1	99.8%	Not listed	at NYG
Caleb Douglas	WR	MIA	24	7	1.6	18.3	16.7	1.2	99.6%	Not listed	at IND
Jacksonville Jaguars D/ST	DST	JAX	3	7	1	16	15	1	100%	—	at TEN
Los Angeles Rams D/ST	DST	LA	3	7	2	16	14	1	100%	—	at ARI
Seattle Seahawks D/ST	DST	SEA	3	7	1	15	14	1	100%	—	at LV
Chris Rodriguez Jr.	RB	JAX	33	6.9	1.1	17.6	16.5	-2	99.3%	Not listed	at TEN
KC Concepcion	WR	CLE	25	6.9	1.8	18	16.2	1.1	99.6%	Not listed	vs HOU
Justice Hill	RB	BAL	34	6.8	1.7	16.7	15	-2.1	100%	Not listed	vs LAC
Harold Fannin Jr.	TE	CLE	5	6.8	1.7	17.2	15.5	1.2	99.8%	Not listed	vs HOU
Joe Fagnano	QB	BAL	29	6.8	0.6	16	15.4	-11.6	96.1%	Not listed	vs LAC
Carnell Tate	WR	TEN	26	6.7	0.7	18.1	17.4	0.9	94%	Not listed	vs JAX
Denzel Boston	WR	CLE	27	6.6	1.6	17.5	15.9	0.8	99.6%	Not listed	vs HOU
T.J. Hockenson	TE	MIN	6	6.5	1.8	16	14.2	0.9	99.8%	Not listed	at GB
Tyler Warren	TE	IND	6	6.5	2	16.4	14.4	0.9	99.8%	Not listed	vs MIA
Travis Kelce	TE	KC	8	6.4	1.7	16.5	14.8	0.8	99.8%	Not listed	at ATL
Keenan Allen	WR	IND	28	6.3	1.6	16.2	14.6	0.5	99.6%	Not listed	vs MIA
Devin Singletary	RB	NYG	35	6.3	1.2	16.3	15.1	-2.6	100%	Not listed	vs WAS
Wan'Dale Robinson	WR	TEN	28	6.3	1.1	17.7	16.6	0.5	99.6%	Not listed	vs JAX
Tre Tucker	WR	LV	28	6.3	1.4	17.2	15.8	0.5	99.6%	Not listed	vs SEA
Omarion Hampton	RB	LAC	35	6.3	1.9	15.3	13.4	-2.6	99.3%	Not listed	at BAL
Jakobi Meyers	WR	JAX	31	6.2	1.6	16.6	15	0.4	99.6%	Not listed	at TEN
Khalil Shakir	WR	BUF	31	6.2	1.5	16.6	15.1	0.4	99.6%	Not listed	at NYJ
Jordan Mason	RB	MIN	37	6.1	1.8	15.6	13.8	-2.8	99.3%	Not listed	at GB
Ryan Flournoy	WR	DAL	33	6.1	1.5	16.7	15.2	0.3	99.6%	Not listed	vs SF
Darren Waller	TE	CAR	9	6	1.4	16.3	14.9	0.4	99.8%	Not listed	at NO
Sam LaPorta	TE	DET	9	6	1.6	15.8	14.2	0.4	99.8%	Not listed	vs NE
Joshua Karty	K	LA	26	6	1	13	12	-2	99.8%	Not listed	at ARI
Germie Bernard	WR	PIT	34	6	1.5	16	14.5	0.2	99.6%	Not listed	at CIN
Baltimore Ravens D/ST	DST	BAL	6	6	1	14	13	0	100%	—	vs LAC
Buffalo Bills D/ST	DST	BUF	6	6	1	14	13	0	100%	—	at NYJ
Cleveland Browns D/ST	DST	CLE	6	6	0	14	14	0	100%	—	vs HOU
Indianapolis Colts D/ST	DST	IND	6	6	1	14	13	0	100%	—	vs MIA
Minnesota Vikings D/ST	DST	MIN	6	6	1	15	14	0	100%	—	at GB
New Orleans Saints D/ST	DST	NO	6	6	0	14	14	0	100%	—	vs CAR
New York Giants D/ST	DST	NYG	6	6	1	14	13	0	100%	—	vs WAS
DJ Moore	WR	BUF	35	5.9	1.4	16.2	14.8	0.1	99.6%	Not listed	at NYJ
Jadarian Price	RB	SEA	38	5.9	1.3	15.3	14	-3	99.3%	Not listed	at LV
Hunter Henry	TE	NE	11	5.8	1.6	15.2	13.6	0.2	99.6%	Not listed	at DET
Mack Hollins	WR	NE	36	5.8	1.4	16.3	14.9	0	99.6%	Not listed	at DET
DK Metcalf	WR	PIT	36	5.8	1.4	15.9	14.5	0	99.6%	Not listed	at CIN
Emmett Johnson	RB	KC	39	5.7	1.1	15.3	14.2	-3.2	99.3%	Not listed	at ATL
Darnell Washington	TE	PIT	12	5.6	1.3	15.3	14	0	99.8%	Not listed	at CIN
Kayshon Boutte	WR	HOU	38	5.6	1.1	16.1	15	-0.2	99.3%	Not listed	at CLE
Dalton Kincaid	TE	BUF	12	5.6	1.5	15.1	13.6	0	99.8%	Not listed	at NYJ
Jalen Coker	WR	CAR	38	5.6	1.3	15.3	14	-0.2	99.6%	Not listed	at NO
Jordan Watkins	WR	SF	38	5.6	1.2	15.7	14.5	-0.2	99.6%	Not listed	at DAL
Kaelon Black	RB	SF	40	5.5	1.5	14.4	12.9	-3.4	99.3%	Not listed	at DAL
Kyle Pitts	TE	ATL	14	5.4	1	15.6	14.6	-0.2	99.8%	Not listed	vs KC
Jordan Addison	WR	MIN	41	5.4	1.2	14.7	13.5	-0.4	99.6%	Not listed	at GB
Dylan Sampson	RB	CLE	41	5.4	1.4	13.9	12.5	-3.5	100%	Not listed	vs HOU
Brenton Strange	TE	JAX	15	5.3	1.5	14.2	12.7	-0.3	99.8%	Not listed	at TEN
Tucker Kraft	TE	GB	15	5.3	1	15.4	14.4	-0.3	99.8%	Not listed	vs MIN
Adonai Mitchell	WR	NYJ	42	5.3	1.2	15.2	14	-0.5	99.6%	Not listed	vs BUF
Chig Okonkwo	TE	WAS	17	5.2	1.5	13.8	12.3	-0.4	99.8%	Not listed	at NYG
Devaughn Vele	WR	NO	43	5.2	0.7	15.8	15.1	-0.6	99.6%	Not listed	vs CAR
Kimani Vidal	RB	LAC	42	5.1	1	14.5	13.5	-3.8	99.3%	Not listed	at BAL
George Pickens	WR	DAL	44	5	0	17.3	17.3	-0.8	69.1%	Not listed	vs SF
Quentin Johnston	WR	LAC	44	5	1.1	15	13.9	-0.8	99.6%	Not listed	at BAL
Malik Washington	WR	MIA	44	5	1	15.1	14.1	-0.8	99.6%	Not listed	at IND
Atlanta Falcons D/ST	DST	ATL	13	5	-1	12	13	-1	100%	—	vs KC
Cincinnati Bengals D/ST	DST	CIN	13	5	0	13	13	-1	100%	—	vs PIT
Detroit Lions D/ST	DST	DET	13	5	0	13	13	-1	100%	—	vs NE
Kansas City Chiefs D/ST	DST	KC	13	5	0	13	13	-1	100%	—	at ATL
Los Angeles Chargers D/ST	DST	LAC	13	5	0	13	13	-1	100%	—	at BAL
Las Vegas Raiders D/ST	DST	LV	13	5	0	12	12	-1	100%	—	vs SEA
Miami Dolphins D/ST	DST	MIA	13	5	0	13	13	-1	100%	—	at IND
Pittsburgh Steelers D/ST	DST	PIT	13	5	0	13	13	-1	100%	—	at CIN
San Francisco 49ers D/ST	DST	SF	13	5	-1	12	13	-1	100%	—	at DAL
Tennessee Titans D/ST	DST	TEN	13	5	-1	13	14	-1	100%	—	vs JAX
Washington Commanders D/ST	DST	WAS	13	5	0	13	13	-1	100%	—	at NYG
Michael Mayer	TE	LV	18	4.9	1.3	13.3	12	-0.7	99.8%	Not listed	vs SEA
Pat Freiermuth	TE	PIT	19	4.7	0.8	14.3	13.5	-0.9	99.8%	Not listed	at CIN
Keaton Mitchell	RB	LAC	43	4.7	1	12.7	11.7	-4.2	99.3%	Not listed	at BAL
Xavier Worthy	WR	KC	47	4.7	0.9	14	13.1	-1.1	99.6%	Not listed	at ATL
Ladd McConkey	WR	LAC	47	4.7	0.5	14.2	13.7	-1.1	94%	Not listed	at BAL
Jahan Dotson	WR	ATL	49	4.6	0.9	13.7	12.8	-1.2	99.6%	Not listed	vs KC
Xavier Hutchinson	WR	HOU	49	4.6	0.5	14.5	14	-1.2	99.6%	Not listed	at CLE
Keon Coleman	WR	BUF	49	4.6	0.5	15.2	14.7	-1.2	99.6%	Not listed	at NYJ
Juwan Johnson	TE	NO	20	4.5	0.6	13.9	13.3	-1.1	99.8%	Not listed	vs CAR
Greg Dulcich	TE	MIA	20	4.5	1	13.6	12.6	-1.1	99.8%	Not listed	at IND
Seth McGowan	RB	IND	44	4.5	0.8	13.7	12.9	-4.4	99.3%	Not listed	vs MIA
Mike Gesicki	TE	CIN	22	4.4	0.6	14.1	13.5	-1.2	99.6%	Not listed	vs PIT
Josh Downs	WR	IND	52	4.4	0.5	13.9	13.4	-1.4	99.6%	Not listed	vs MIA
Antonio Williams	WR	WAS	52	4.4	0.5	13.5	13	-1.4	99.6%	Not listed	at NYG
Malachi Fields	WR	NYG	52	4.4	0.5	14.6	14.1	-1.4	99.6%	Not listed	vs WAS
Samaje Perine	RB	CIN	45	4.3	0.7	13.5	12.8	-4.6	99.3%	Not listed	vs PIT
Dalton Schultz	TE	HOU	23	4.2	0.8	13	12.2	-1.4	99.6%	Not listed	at CLE
Starter average	—	—	—	10.2	3.1	21.6	18.6	2.1	99.2%	—	—

Data as of 2026-11-13 17:17 UTCSource: Kelly's projections: the engine's simulated games scored in each public format; nflverse data (CC BY 4.0), scored by Kelly; Kelly's consensus of the books it tracks; Forecast: National Weather Service; NFL injury reports via nflverseWeek 10, Half-PPR · 6-pt pass TD scoring; projection ens-fit-2026w10-mkt-2026-w10-2026-11-13+mkt-closing-2026-w10.Starters are a 12-team league's (QB1–QB12, RB1–RB24, WR1–WR36, TE1–TE12, K1–K12, DST1–DST12); replacement is the last of them.Per-game figures from fewer than 4 games are marked as small samples.On bye, so not ranked: CHI, DEN, PHI, TB.

Questions

Who is the top quarterback for Week 10?: Joe Burrow (CIN), projected 26.7 Half-PPR · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 9.2 to 43.8.
Who is the top running back for Week 10?: Jahmyr Gibbs (DET), projected 16.8 Half-PPR · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 6.7 to 31.7.
Who is the top wide receiver for Week 10?: Puka Nacua (LA), projected 16.0 Half-PPR · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 5.8 to 34.2.
Who is the top tight end for Week 10?: Brock Bowers (LV), projected 10.5 Half-PPR · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 2.9 to 24.3.
Who is the top kicker for Week 10?: Tyler Bass (BUF), projected 9.0 Half-PPR · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 3.0 to 17.0.
Who is the top defense for Week 10?: Green Bay Packers D/ST (GB), projected 8.0 Half-PPR · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 2.0 to 17.0.
What do the floor and ceiling mean?: They are the 10th and 90th percentiles of Kelly's 10,000 simulated games for each player: he scores below his floor in 1 game in 10 and above his ceiling in 1 game in 10. The projection is the median.
Which teams are on bye in Week 10?: CHI, DEN, PHI, TB.
What is points over replacement?: A player's points minus the replacement player's at his position: the last starter in a 12-team league (QB12, RB24, WR36, TE12, K12, DST12). It puts every position on one scale for flex and trade decisions.