Who is the top quarterback for Week 10?

Joe Burrow (CIN), projected 26.7 Standard · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 9.2 to 43.8.

Who is the top running back for Week 10?

Jahmyr Gibbs (DET), projected 15.3 Standard · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 5.8 to 29.7.

Who is the top wide receiver for Week 10?

Puka Nacua (LA), projected 11.5 Standard · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 3.5 to 27.2.

Who is the top tight end for Week 10?

Brock Bowers (LV), projected 7.9 Standard · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 1.6 to 19.9.

Who is the top kicker for Week 10?

Tyler Bass (BUF), projected 9.0 Standard · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 3.0 to 17.0.

Who is the top defense for Week 10?

Green Bay Packers D/ST (GB), projected 8.0 Standard · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 2.0 to 17.0.

What do the floor and ceiling mean?

They are the 10th and 90th percentiles of Kelly's 10,000 simulated games for each player: he scores below his floor in 1 game in 10 and above his ceiling in 1 game in 10. The projection is the median.

What is points over replacement?

A player's points minus the replacement player's at his position: the last starter in a 12-team league (QB12, RB24, WR36, TE12, K12, DST12). It puts every position on one scale for flex and trade decisions.

Fantasy football Week 10 rankings, Standard · 6-pt pass TD

Week 10 of the 2026 NFL season · byes: CHI, DEN, PHI, TB

Joe Burrow is Kelly's top Week 10 quarterback at 26.7 projected Standard · 6-pt pass TD points (range 9.2 to 43.8). 486 players are ranked across 6 positions; CHI, DEN, PHI, TB are on bye.

Week 10 rankings, Standard · 6-pt pass TD (486)

Showing (200) of (486) · Now · Sorted by Proj, high to low · Compared with players at the same position (486 players)

Player	Pos	Team	Pos rank	Proj	Floor	Ceiling	Range	Over repl.	Play %	Status	Opp
Joe Burrow	QB	CIN	1	26.7	9.2	43.8	34.6	8.3	96.1%	Not listed	vs PIT
Drake Maye	QB	NE	2	24.4	7.6	41.4	33.8	6	96.1%	Not listed	at DET
Josh Allen	QB	BUF	3	22.4	7.5	38.6	31.1	4	96.1%	Not listed	at NYJ
Brock Purdy	QB	SF	4	22.1	7.3	37.6	30.3	3.7	96.1%	Not listed	at DAL
Jordan Love	QB	GB	5	21.2	6.8	36.6	29.8	2.8	96.1%	Not listed	vs MIN
Trevor Lawrence	QB	JAX	6	21.1	6.6	36.5	29.9	2.7	96.1%	Not listed	at TEN
C.J. Stroud	QB	HOU	7	20.8	6.5	36.1	29.6	2.4	96.1%	Not listed	at CLE
Dak Prescott	QB	DAL	8	19.5	6.1	34.4	28.3	1.1	96.1%	Not listed	vs SF
Tyler Shough	QB	NO	9	18.8	5.9	33.4	27.5	0.4	96.1%	Not listed	vs CAR
Jayden Daniels	QB	WAS	10	18.7	7.1	32.2	25.1	0.3	96.7%	Not listed	at NYG
Bryce Young	QB	CAR	11	18.5	5.4	33.3	27.9	0.1	96.1%	Not listed	at NO
Kirk Cousins	QB	LV	12	18.4	5	32.6	27.6	0	96.1%	Not listed	vs SEA
Matthew Stafford	QB	LA	13	18.2	5.4	33	27.6	-0.2	96.1%	Not listed	at ARI
Jared Goff	QB	DET	14	17.8	5.6	31.8	26.2	-0.6	96.1%	Not listed	vs NE
Patrick Mahomes	QB	KC	15	17.2	5.2	31.4	26.2	-1.2	96.1%	Not listed	at ATL
Aaron Rodgers	QB	PIT	16	15.8	4.4	29.4	25	-2.6	96.1%	Not listed	at CIN
Geno Smith	QB	NYJ	17	15.6	4.5	29	24.5	-2.8	96.1%	Not listed	vs BUF
Jahmyr Gibbs	RB	DET	1	15.3	5.8	29.7	23.9	8	100%	Not listed	vs NE
Michael Penix Jr.	QB	ATL	18	15.2	3.9	28.2	24.3	-3.2	96.1%	Not listed	vs KC
James Cook	RB	BUF	2	15	5.7	29.5	23.8	7.7	100%	Not listed	at NYJ
Malik Willis	QB	MIA	19	14.5	2.9	27.4	24.5	-3.9	96.1%	Not listed	at IND
Cam Ward	QB	TEN	20	14.3	4.1	26.3	22.2	-4.1	96.1%	Not listed	vs JAX
Kenneth Walker III	RB	KC	3	14	5.2	27.6	22.4	6.7	100%	Not listed	at ATL
Drew Lock	QB	SEA	21	13.7	3.9	26.7	22.8	-4.7	96.1%	Not listed	at LV
Daniel Jones	QB	IND	22	13.4	3.2	25.1	21.9	-5	96.1%	Not listed	vs MIA
Christian McCaffrey	RB	SF	4	13	3.9	27	23.1	5.7	100%	Not listed	at DAL
Jaylen Warren	RB	PIT	5	12.8	5.2	25	19.8	5.5	100%	Not listed	at CIN
Tony Pollard	RB	TEN	6	12.7	4.5	25.7	21.2	5.4	100%	Not listed	vs JAX
Bijan Robinson	RB	ATL	7	12.5	5	24.6	19.6	5.2	100%	Not listed	vs KC
Justin Herbert	QB	LAC	23	12.3	3.2	23.1	19.9	-6.1	96.1%	Not listed	at BAL
Shedeur Sanders	QB	CLE	24	12.2	2.8	23.2	20.4	-6.2	96.1%	Not listed	vs HOU
Javonte Williams	RB	DAL	8	12.1	4.2	24.5	20.3	4.8	100%	Not listed	vs SF
Chuba Hubbard	RB	CAR	9	12	4.5	24.2	19.7	4.7	100%	Not listed	at NO
Carson Wentz	QB	MIN	25	11.8	2.2	23.5	21.3	-6.6	96.1%	Not listed	at GB
Puka Nacua	WR	LA	1	11.5	3.5	27.2	23.7	7.6	99.6%	Not listed	at ARI
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	WR	SEA	2	10.5	3	25.1	22.1	6.6	99.6%	Not listed	at LV
CeeDee Lamb	WR	DAL	3	10.4	2.9	24.6	21.7	6.5	99.6%	Not listed	vs SF
Kyren Williams	RB	LA	10	10.2	3.6	21.2	17.6	2.9	100%	Not listed	at ARI
Bhayshul Tuten	RB	JAX	10	10.2	2.8	22.4	19.6	2.9	99.3%	Not listed	at TEN
Jonathan Taylor	RB	IND	12	10	3.4	20.9	17.5	2.7	100%	Not listed	vs MIA
J.J. McCarthy	QB	NYG	26	9.9	3.2	20.1	16.9	-8.5	96.7%	Not listed	vs WAS
Deshaun Watson	QB	CLE	27	9.7	0	23.4	23.4	-8.7	69.1%	Not listed	vs HOU
Derrick Henry	RB	BAL	13	9.5	3.3	20.1	16.8	2.2	100%	Not listed	vs LAC
Tee Higgins	WR	CIN	4	9.5	2.5	22.2	19.7	5.6	99.6%	Not listed	vs PIT
Ja'Marr Chase	WR	CIN	5	9.4	2.6	22.5	19.9	5.5	99.6%	Not listed	vs PIT
Braelon Allen	RB	NYJ	14	9.3	3.5	20	16.5	2	100%	Not listed	vs BUF
Zach Charbonnet	RB	SEA	15	9.2	2.7	20.4	17.7	1.9	100%	Not listed	at LV
Tyler Bass	K	BUF	1	9	3	17	14	1	99.8%	Not listed	at NYJ
Ollie Gordon II	RB	MIA	16	9	3.2	19.3	16.1	1.7	100%	Not listed	at IND
Audric Estime	RB	NO	17	8.9	2.3	20.1	17.8	1.6	99.3%	Not listed	vs CAR
Christian Watson	WR	GB	6	8.7	2.4	21.8	19.4	4.8	99.6%	Not listed	vs MIN
Emanuel Wilson	RB	SEA	18	8.4	0.8	19.3	18.5	1.1	91%	Not listed	at LV
Blake Corum	RB	LA	18	8.4	2.2	19.4	17.2	1.1	99.3%	Not listed	at ARI
Matthew Golden	WR	GB	7	8.3	2.3	20.8	18.5	4.4	99.6%	Not listed	vs MIN
Gardner Minshew	QB	ARI	28	8.2	0	22.7	22.7	-10.2	96.1%	Not listed	vs LA
Breece Hall	RB	NYJ	20	8.1	2.7	18.7	16	0.8	99.3%	Not listed	vs BUF
Chris Boswell	K	PIT	2	8	2	16	14	0	99.8%	Not listed	at CIN
Ka'imi Fairbairn	K	HOU	2	8	3	17	14	0	99.8%	Not listed	at CLE
Harrison Butker	K	KC	2	8	2	15	13	0	99.8%	Not listed	at ATL
Eddy Pineiro	K	SF	2	8	3	16	13	0	99.8%	Not listed	at DAL
Evan McPherson	K	CIN	2	8	3	17	14	0	99.8%	Not listed	vs PIT
Brandon Aubrey	K	DAL	2	8	3	16	13	0	99.8%	Not listed	vs SF
Jake Bates	K	DET	2	8	2	16	14	0	99.8%	Not listed	vs NE
Cam Little	K	JAX	2	8	3	17	14	0	99.8%	Not listed	at TEN
Spencer Shrader	K	IND	2	8	2	16	14	0	99.8%	Not listed	vs MIA
Andy Borregales	K	NE	2	8	2	15	13	0	99.8%	Not listed	at DET
Trey Smack	K	GB	2	8	2	16	14	0	99.8%	Not listed	vs MIN
Green Bay Packers D/ST	DST	GB	1	8	2	17	15	2	100%	—	vs MIN
Houston Texans D/ST	DST	HOU	1	8	2	16	14	2	100%	—	at CLE
Rhamondre Stevenson	RB	NE	21	7.9	2.6	18.2	15.6	0.6	100%	Not listed	at DET
Tyler Allgeier	RB	ARI	21	7.9	2.4	18.7	16.3	0.6	100%	Not listed	vs LA
Brock Bowers	TE	LV	1	7.9	1.6	19.9	18.3	4.1	99.8%	Not listed	vs SEA
Quinshon Judkins	RB	CLE	21	7.9	2.1	18.3	16.2	0.6	99.3%	Not listed	vs HOU
Malik Nabers	WR	NYG	8	7.7	2.4	19.4	17	3.8	99.6%	Not listed	vs WAS
Amon-Ra St. Brown	WR	DET	9	7.3	2.2	18.7	16.5	3.4	99.6%	Not listed	vs NE
Woody Marks	RB	HOU	24	7.3	2.3	17.5	15.2	0	100%	Not listed	at CLE
Cam Skattebo	RB	NYG	24	7.3	0	18.5	18.5	0	83.5%	Not listed	vs WAS
Chase Brown	RB	CIN	26	7.1	2.4	16.8	14.4	-0.2	100%	Not listed	vs PIT
Nick Folk	K	ATL	13	7	2	15	13	-1	99.8%	Not listed	vs KC
Brandon McManus	K	LA	13	7	2	15	13	-1	99.8%	Not listed	at ARI
Jason Myers	K	SEA	13	7	2	15	13	-1	99.8%	Not listed	at LV
Jason Sanders	K	NYJ	13	7	2	16	14	-1	99.8%	Not listed	vs BUF
Joey Slye	K	TEN	13	7	1	15	14	-1	99.8%	Not listed	vs JAX
Matt Gay	K	LV	13	7	2	16	14	-1	99.8%	Not listed	vs SEA
Cameron Dicker	K	LAC	13	7	1	15	14	-1	99.8%	Not listed	at BAL
Jameson Williams	WR	DET	10	7	1.3	18.5	17.2	3.1	99.6%	Not listed	vs NE
Andre Szmyt	K	CLE	13	7	1	15	14	-1	99.8%	Not listed	vs HOU
Chad Ryland	K	ARI	13	7	2	15	13	-1	99.8%	Not listed	vs LA
Will Reichard	K	MIN	13	7	1	16	15	-1	99.8%	Not listed	at GB
Ryan Fitzgerald	K	CAR	13	7	2	15	13	-1	99.8%	Not listed	at NO
Dominic Zvada	K	NYG	13	7	2	16	14	-1	99.8%	Not listed	vs WAS
Drew Stevens	K	WAS	13	7	2	15	13	-1	99.8%	Not listed	at NYG
Jacksonville Jaguars D/ST	DST	JAX	3	7	1	16	15	1	100%	—	at TEN
Los Angeles Rams D/ST	DST	LA	3	7	2	16	14	1	100%	—	at ARI
Seattle Seahawks D/ST	DST	SEA	3	7	1	15	14	1	100%	—	at LV
Chris Olave	WR	NO	11	6.9	2.1	17.8	15.7	3	99.6%	Not listed	vs CAR
Omar Cooper Jr.	WR	NYJ	11	6.9	2	18.1	16.1	3	99.6%	Not listed	vs BUF
Joe Fagnano	QB	BAL	29	6.8	0.6	16	15.4	-11.6	96.1%	Not listed	vs LAC
Isaiah Likely	TE	NYG	2	6.7	1.3	16.7	15.4	2.9	99.8%	Not listed	vs WAS
George Kittle	TE	SF	3	6.6	1.4	17.2	15.8	2.8	99.8%	Not listed	at DAL
Josh Jacobs	RB	GB	27	6.5	1.1	16.8	15.7	-0.8	99.3%	Not listed	vs MIN
Zay Flowers	WR	BAL	13	6.5	1.9	17	15.1	2.6	99.6%	Not listed	vs LAC
Tetairoa McMillan	WR	CAR	13	6.5	1.9	17.4	15.5	2.6	99.6%	Not listed	at NO
Chris Rodriguez Jr.	RB	JAX	28	6.3	0.9	16.8	15.9	-1	99.3%	Not listed	at TEN
Ashton Jeanty	RB	LV	28	6.3	1.5	16.3	14.8	-1	100%	Not listed	vs SEA
Parker Washington	WR	JAX	15	6.2	1.2	17.8	16.6	2.3	99.6%	Not listed	at TEN
Aaron Jones	RB	MIN	30	6.1	1.7	15.7	14	-1.2	99.3%	Not listed	at GB
Rachaad White	RB	WAS	31	6	1.3	16.3	15	-1.3	100%	Not listed	at NYG
Trey McBride	TE	ARI	4	6	1.4	16.2	14.8	2.2	99.8%	Not listed	vs LA
Joshua Karty	K	LA	26	6	1	13	12	-2	99.8%	Not listed	at ARI
Baltimore Ravens D/ST	DST	BAL	6	6	1	14	13	0	100%	—	vs LAC
Buffalo Bills D/ST	DST	BUF	6	6	1	14	13	0	100%	—	at NYJ
Cleveland Browns D/ST	DST	CLE	6	6	0	14	14	0	100%	—	vs HOU
Indianapolis Colts D/ST	DST	IND	6	6	1	14	13	0	100%	—	vs MIA
Minnesota Vikings D/ST	DST	MIN	6	6	1	15	14	0	100%	—	at GB
New Orleans Saints D/ST	DST	NO	6	6	0	14	14	0	100%	—	vs CAR
New York Giants D/ST	DST	NYG	6	6	1	14	13	0	100%	—	vs WAS
Rico Dowdle	RB	PIT	32	5.8	1.1	15.7	14.6	-1.5	99.3%	Not listed	at CIN
Drake London	WR	ATL	16	5.8	1.9	15.6	13.7	1.9	99.6%	Not listed	vs KC
Tank Dell	WR	HOU	17	5.7	1.2	17.2	16	1.8	99.3%	Not listed	at CLE
Nico Collins	WR	HOU	18	5.5	1.1	16.4	15.3	1.6	99.6%	Not listed	at CLE
DeMario Douglas	WR	NE	18	5.5	1.1	16.7	15.6	1.6	99.6%	Not listed	at DET
Jordan Mason	RB	MIN	33	5.4	1.6	14.8	13.2	-1.9	99.3%	Not listed	at GB
Michael Wilson	WR	ARI	20	5.4	1.2	16.3	15.1	1.5	99.6%	Not listed	vs LA
Omarion Hampton	RB	LAC	34	5.3	1.5	14.2	12.7	-2	99.3%	Not listed	at BAL
Alvin Kamara	RB	NO	35	5.2	1	14.8	13.8	-2.1	99.3%	Not listed	vs CAR
Justice Hill	RB	BAL	35	5.2	1.1	14.9	13.8	-2.1	100%	Not listed	vs LAC
Devin Singletary	RB	NYG	35	5.2	0.8	15.1	14.3	-2.1	100%	Not listed	vs WAS
Justin Jefferson	WR	MIN	21	5.2	1.1	15.8	14.7	1.3	99.6%	Not listed	at GB
Rashee Rice	WR	KC	21	5.2	1.2	15.9	14.7	1.3	99.6%	Not listed	at ATL
Kaelon Black	RB	SF	38	5	1.4	13.8	12.4	-2.3	99.3%	Not listed	at DAL
Atlanta Falcons D/ST	DST	ATL	13	5	-1	12	13	-1	100%	—	vs KC
Cincinnati Bengals D/ST	DST	CIN	13	5	0	13	13	-1	100%	—	vs PIT
Detroit Lions D/ST	DST	DET	13	5	0	13	13	-1	100%	—	vs NE
Kansas City Chiefs D/ST	DST	KC	13	5	0	13	13	-1	100%	—	at ATL
Los Angeles Chargers D/ST	DST	LAC	13	5	0	13	13	-1	100%	—	at BAL
Las Vegas Raiders D/ST	DST	LV	13	5	0	12	12	-1	100%	—	vs SEA
Miami Dolphins D/ST	DST	MIA	13	5	0	13	13	-1	100%	—	at IND
Pittsburgh Steelers D/ST	DST	PIT	13	5	0	13	13	-1	100%	—	at CIN
San Francisco 49ers D/ST	DST	SF	13	5	-1	12	13	-1	100%	—	at DAL
Tennessee Titans D/ST	DST	TEN	13	5	-1	13	14	-1	100%	—	vs JAX
Washington Commanders D/ST	DST	WAS	13	5	0	13	13	-1	100%	—	at NYG
Caleb Douglas	WR	MIA	23	4.9	1.1	15.5	14.4	1	99.6%	Not listed	at IND
KC Concepcion	WR	CLE	23	4.9	1.1	15.2	14.1	1	99.6%	Not listed	vs HOU
Stefon Diggs	WR	WAS	25	4.8	0.9	15.3	14.4	0.9	99.6%	Not listed	at NYG
Harold Fannin Jr.	TE	CLE	5	4.7	1	14.2	13.2	0.9	99.8%	Not listed	vs HOU
Jadarian Price	RB	SEA	39	4.7	0.8	13.6	12.8	-2.6	99.3%	Not listed	at LV
Emmett Johnson	RB	KC	40	4.6	0.8	13.9	13.1	-2.7	99.3%	Not listed	at ATL
Denzel Boston	WR	CLE	26	4.6	1	14.3	13.3	0.7	99.6%	Not listed	vs HOU
Tre Tucker	WR	LV	27	4.5	0.9	14.6	13.7	0.6	99.6%	Not listed	vs SEA
Carnell Tate	WR	TEN	27	4.5	0.1	14.6	14.5	0.6	94%	Not listed	vs JAX
Travis Kelce	TE	KC	6	4.4	1.1	13.6	12.5	0.6	99.8%	Not listed	at ATL
Ryan Flournoy	WR	DAL	29	4.4	1	14	13	0.5	99.6%	Not listed	vs SF
DJ Moore	WR	BUF	30	4.3	0.9	13.8	12.9	0.4	99.6%	Not listed	at NYJ
Jordan Watkins	WR	SF	30	4.3	0.9	13.7	12.8	0.4	99.6%	Not listed	at DAL
Darren Waller	TE	CAR	7	4.2	1	13.8	12.8	0.4	99.8%	Not listed	at NO
Jakobi Meyers	WR	JAX	32	4.2	1	13.6	12.6	0.3	99.6%	Not listed	at TEN
T.J. Hockenson	TE	MIN	7	4.2	1	12.9	11.9	0.4	99.8%	Not listed	at GB
Khalil Shakir	WR	BUF	32	4.2	0.9	13.4	12.5	0.3	99.6%	Not listed	at NYJ
Kayshon Boutte	WR	HOU	32	4.2	0.9	14.2	13.3	0.3	99.3%	Not listed	at CLE
Kimani Vidal	RB	LAC	41	4.1	0.7	13.3	12.6	-3.2	99.3%	Not listed	at BAL
Darnell Washington	TE	PIT	9	4	0.9	13.1	12.2	0.2	99.8%	Not listed	at CIN
Sam LaPorta	TE	DET	9	4	1	12.9	11.9	0.2	99.8%	Not listed	vs NE
Dylan Sampson	RB	CLE	42	4	0.8	11.7	10.9	-3.3	100%	Not listed	vs HOU
Arizona Cardinals D/ST	DST	ARI	24	4	-1	11	12	-2	100%	—	vs LA
Carolina Panthers D/ST	DST	CAR	24	4	-1	11	12	-2	100%	—	at NO
Dallas Cowboys D/ST	DST	DAL	24	4	-2	11	13	-2	100%	—	vs SF
New England Patriots D/ST	DST	NE	24	4	-1	12	13	-2	100%	—	at DET
Keenan Allen	WR	IND	35	3.9	0.8	12.4	11.6	0	99.6%	Not listed	vs MIA
Mack Hollins	WR	NE	35	3.9	0.9	13.4	12.5	0	99.6%	Not listed	at DET
DK Metcalf	WR	PIT	35	3.9	0.9	12.8	11.9	0	99.6%	Not listed	at CIN
Quentin Johnston	WR	LAC	35	3.9	0.8	13.1	12.3	0	99.6%	Not listed	at BAL
Jordan Addison	WR	MIN	35	3.9	0.8	12.1	11.3	0	99.6%	Not listed	at GB
Seth McGowan	RB	IND	43	3.9	0.6	13	12.4	-3.4	99.3%	Not listed	vs MIA
Hunter Henry	TE	NE	11	3.8	0.9	12.2	11.3	0	99.6%	Not listed	at DET
Dalton Kincaid	TE	BUF	11	3.8	0.9	12.4	11.5	0	99.8%	Not listed	at NYJ
Jalen Coker	WR	CAR	40	3.8	0.8	12.6	11.8	-0.1	99.6%	Not listed	at NO
Adonai Mitchell	WR	NYJ	40	3.8	0.9	12.9	12	-0.1	99.6%	Not listed	vs BUF
Tyler Warren	TE	IND	11	3.8	1	12.5	11.5	0	99.8%	Not listed	vs MIA
Corey Kiner	RB	NE	44	3.8	0.5	13.4	12.9	-3.5	99.3%	Not listed	at DET
Samaje Perine	RB	CIN	45	3.7	0.6	12.8	12.2	-3.6	99.3%	Not listed	vs PIT
Wan'Dale Robinson	WR	TEN	42	3.7	0.2	14.1	13.9	-0.2	99.6%	Not listed	vs JAX
Kaleb Johnson	RB	GB	45	3.7	0.5	12.9	12.4	-3.6	99.3%	Not listed	vs MIN
Mike Washington Jr.	RB	LV	45	3.7	0.6	12.6	12	-3.6	99.3%	Not listed	vs SEA
Germie Bernard	WR	PIT	42	3.7	0.8	12.5	11.7	-0.2	99.6%	Not listed	at CIN
Jahan Dotson	WR	ATL	44	3.6	0.8	12	11.2	-0.3	99.6%	Not listed	vs KC
George Pickens	WR	DAL	45	3.5	0	14.1	14.1	-0.4	69.1%	Not listed	vs SF
Tyler Goodson	RB	DAL	48	3.4	0.6	11.2	10.6	-3.9	99.3%	Not listed	vs SF
Keaton Mitchell	RB	LAC	48	3.4	0.6	11	10.4	-3.9	99.3%	Not listed	at BAL
Brenton Strange	TE	JAX	14	3.4	0.9	11.1	10.2	-0.4	99.8%	Not listed	at TEN
Tucker Kraft	TE	GB	14	3.4	0.5	12.8	12.3	-0.4	99.8%	Not listed	vs MIN
Ladd McConkey	WR	LAC	46	3.4	0.1	11.9	11.8	-0.5	94%	Not listed	at BAL
Devaughn Vele	WR	NO	47	3.3	0	13.1	13.1	-0.6	99.6%	Not listed	vs CAR
Michael Carter	RB	TEN	50	3.2	0	10.7	10.7	-4.1	91%	Not listed	vs JAX
Kyle Pitts	TE	ATL	16	3.2	0.4	13	12.6	-0.6	99.8%	Not listed	vs KC
Chig Okonkwo	TE	WAS	16	3.2	0.8	10.6	9.8	-0.6	99.8%	Not listed	at NYG
Pat Freiermuth	TE	PIT	18	3.1	0.4	12.3	11.9	-0.7	99.8%	Not listed	at CIN
Malik Washington	WR	MIA	48	3.1	0.2	12.3	12.1	-0.8	99.6%	Not listed	at IND
Keon Coleman	WR	BUF	48	3.1	0	13	13	-0.8	99.6%	Not listed	at NYJ
Mike Gesicki	TE	CIN	19	3	0.4	12.3	11.9	-0.8	99.6%	Not listed	vs PIT
Starter average	—	—	—	8.7	2.5	19.5	17	1.9	99.1%	—	—

Data as of 2026-11-13 17:16 UTCSource: Kelly's projections: the engine's simulated games scored in each public format; nflverse data (CC BY 4.0), scored by Kelly; Kelly's consensus of the books it tracks; Forecast: National Weather Service; NFL injury reports via nflverseWeek 10, Standard · 6-pt pass TD scoring; projection ens-fit-2026w10-mkt-2026-w10-2026-11-13+mkt-closing-2026-w10.Starters are a 12-team league's (QB1–QB12, RB1–RB24, WR1–WR36, TE1–TE12, K1–K12, DST1–DST12); replacement is the last of them.Per-game figures from fewer than 4 games are marked as small samples.On bye, so not ranked: CHI, DEN, PHI, TB.

Questions

Who is the top quarterback for Week 10?: Joe Burrow (CIN), projected 26.7 Standard · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 9.2 to 43.8.
Who is the top running back for Week 10?: Jahmyr Gibbs (DET), projected 15.3 Standard · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 5.8 to 29.7.
Who is the top wide receiver for Week 10?: Puka Nacua (LA), projected 11.5 Standard · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 3.5 to 27.2.
Who is the top tight end for Week 10?: Brock Bowers (LV), projected 7.9 Standard · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 1.6 to 19.9.
Who is the top kicker for Week 10?: Tyler Bass (BUF), projected 9.0 Standard · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 3.0 to 17.0.
Who is the top defense for Week 10?: Green Bay Packers D/ST (GB), projected 8.0 Standard · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 2.0 to 17.0.
What do the floor and ceiling mean?: They are the 10th and 90th percentiles of Kelly's 10,000 simulated games for each player: he scores below his floor in 1 game in 10 and above his ceiling in 1 game in 10. The projection is the median.
Which teams are on bye in Week 10?: CHI, DEN, PHI, TB.
What is points over replacement?: A player's points minus the replacement player's at his position: the last starter in a 12-team league (QB12, RB24, WR36, TE12, K12, DST12). It puts every position on one scale for flex and trade decisions.