Week 10 QB rankings, Standard · 6-pt pass TD
Week 10 of the 2026 NFL season · byes: CHI, DEN, PHI, TB
Joe Burrow is Kelly's top Week 10 quarterback at 26.7 projected Standard · 6-pt pass TD points (range 9.2 to 43.8). Next: Drake Maye (24.4) and Josh Allen (22.4).
Week 10 rankings, Standard · 6-pt pass TD (74)
Showing (74) of (74) · Now · Sorted by Proj, high to low · Compared with players at the same position (74 players)
| Player | Pos | Team | Pos rank | Proj | Floor | Ceiling | Range | Over repl. | Play % | Status | Opp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 1 | 26.7 | 9.2 | 43.8 | 34.6 | 8.3 | 96.1% | Not listed | vs PIT |
| Drake Maye | QB | NE | 2 | 24.4 | 7.6 | 41.4 | 33.8 | 6 | 96.1% | Not listed | at DET |
| Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 3 | 22.4 | 7.5 | 38.6 | 31.1 | 4 | 96.1% | Not listed | at NYJ |
| Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 4 | 22.1 | 7.3 | 37.6 | 30.3 | 3.7 | 96.1% | Not listed | at DAL |
| Jordan Love | QB | GB | 5 | 21.2 | 6.8 | 36.6 | 29.8 | 2.8 | 96.1% | Not listed | vs MIN |
| Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 6 | 21.1 | 6.6 | 36.5 | 29.9 | 2.7 | 96.1% | Not listed | at TEN |
| C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 7 | 20.8 | 6.5 | 36.1 | 29.6 | 2.4 | 96.1% | Not listed | at CLE |
| Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 8 | 19.5 | 6.1 | 34.4 | 28.3 | 1.1 | 96.1% | Not listed | vs SF |
| Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 9 | 18.8 | 5.9 | 33.4 | 27.5 | 0.4 | 96.1% | Not listed | vs CAR |
| Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 10 | 18.7 | 7.1 | 32.2 | 25.1 | 0.3 | 96.7% | Not listed | at NYG |
| Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 11 | 18.5 | 5.4 | 33.3 | 27.9 | 0.1 | 96.1% | Not listed | at NO |
| Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | 12 | 18.4 | 5 | 32.6 | 27.6 | 0 | 96.1% | Not listed | vs SEA |
| Matthew Stafford | QB | LA | 13 | 18.2 | 5.4 | 33 | 27.6 | -0.2 | 96.1% | Not listed | at ARI |
| Jared Goff | QB | DET | 14 | 17.8 | 5.6 | 31.8 | 26.2 | -0.6 | 96.1% | Not listed | vs NE |
| Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 15 | 17.2 | 5.2 | 31.4 | 26.2 | -1.2 | 96.1% | Not listed | at ATL |
| Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 16 | 15.8 | 4.4 | 29.4 | 25 | -2.6 | 96.1% | Not listed | at CIN |
| Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | 17 | 15.6 | 4.5 | 29 | 24.5 | -2.8 | 96.1% | Not listed | vs BUF |
| Michael Penix Jr. | QB | ATL | 18 | 15.2 | 3.9 | 28.2 | 24.3 | -3.2 | 96.1% | Not listed | vs KC |
| Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 19 | 14.5 | 2.9 | 27.4 | 24.5 | -3.9 | 96.1% | Not listed | at IND |
| Cam Ward | QB | TEN | 20 | 14.3 | 4.1 | 26.3 | 22.2 | -4.1 | 96.1% | Not listed | vs JAX |
| Drew Lock | QB | SEA | 21 | 13.7 | 3.9 | 26.7 | 22.8 | -4.7 | 96.1% | Not listed | at LV |
| Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 22 | 13.4 | 3.2 | 25.1 | 21.9 | -5 | 96.1% | Not listed | vs MIA |
| Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 23 | 12.3 | 3.2 | 23.1 | 19.9 | -6.1 | 96.1% | Not listed | at BAL |
| Shedeur Sanders | QB | CLE | 24 | 12.2 | 2.8 | 23.2 | 20.4 | -6.2 | 96.1% | Not listed | vs HOU |
| Carson Wentz | QB | MIN | 25 | 11.8 | 2.2 | 23.5 | 21.3 | -6.6 | 96.1% | Not listed | at GB |
| J.J. McCarthy | QB | NYG | 26 | 9.9 | 3.2 | 20.1 | 16.9 | -8.5 | 96.7% | Not listed | vs WAS |
| Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | 27 | 9.7 | 0 | 23.4 | 23.4 | -8.7 | 69.1% | Not listed | vs HOU |
| Gardner Minshew | QB | ARI | 28 | 8.2 | 0 | 22.7 | 22.7 | -10.2 | 96.1% | Not listed | vs LA |
| Joe Fagnano | QB | BAL | 29 | 6.8 | 0.6 | 16 | 15.4 | -11.6 | 96.1% | Not listed | vs LAC |
| Joe Flacco | QB | CIN | 30 | 0 | 0 | 10.5 | 10.5 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | vs PIT |
| Andy Dalton | QB | ATL | 30 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 | 6.3 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | vs KC |
| Tyrod Taylor | QB | GB | 30 | 0 | 0 | 10.2 | 10.2 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | vs MIN |
| Jameis Winston | QB | NYG | 30 | 0 | 0 | 19.6 | 19.6 | -18.4 | 39.7% | Not listed | vs WAS |
| Marcus Mariota | QB | WAS | 30 | 0 | 0 | 13.9 | 13.9 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | at NYG |
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | BAL | 30 | 0 | 0 | 18.4 | 18.4 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | vs LAC |
| Mitchell Trubisky | QB | TEN | 30 | 0 | 0 | 13.6 | 13.6 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | vs JAX |
| Joshua Dobbs | QB | DET | 30 | 0 | 0 | 4.9 | 4.9 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | vs NE |
| Kyle Allen | QB | BUF | 30 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 | 6.2 | -18.4 | 39.7% | Not listed | at NYJ |
| Mason Rudolph | QB | PIT | 30 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 | 6.1 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | at CIN |
| Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -18.4 | 0% | Not listed | at LV |
| Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -18.4 | 0% | Not listed | at GB |
| Tua Tagovailoa | QB | ATL | 30 | 0 | 0 | 12.2 | 12.2 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | vs KC |
| Davis Mills | QB | HOU | 30 | 0 | 0 | 15.5 | 15.5 | -18.4 | 39.7% | Not listed | at CLE |
| Justin Fields | QB | KC | 30 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | -18.4 | 39.7% | Not listed | at ATL |
| Mac Jones | QB | SF | 30 | 0 | 0 | 10.4 | 10.4 | -18.4 | 39.7% | Not listed | at DAL |
| Zach Wilson | QB | NO | 30 | 0 | 0 | 4.3 | 4.3 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | vs CAR |
| Sam Howell | QB | DAL | 30 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 | 7.1 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | vs SF |
| Kenny Pickett | QB | CAR | 30 | 0 | 0 | 5.5 | 5.5 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | at NO |
| Tommy DeVito | QB | NE | 30 | 0 | 0 | 9.9 | 9.9 | -18.4 | 39.7% | Not listed | at DET |
| Aidan O'Connell | QB | LV | 30 | 0 | 0 | 8.6 | 8.6 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | vs SEA |
| Stetson Bennett | QB | LA | 30 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 | 7.1 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | at ARI |
| Anthony Richardson | QB | IND | 30 | 0 | 0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | vs MIA |
| Spencer Rattler | QB | NO | 30 | 0 | 0 | 12.7 | 12.7 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | vs CAR |
| Kedon Slovis | QB | BAL | 30 | 0 | 0 | 4.2 | 4.2 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | vs LAC |
| Kyle McCord | QB | MIA | 30 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 | 7.2 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | at IND |
| Will Howard | QB | PIT | 30 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 | 7.2 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | at CIN |
| Riley Leonard | QB | IND | 30 | 0 | 0 | 12.8 | 12.8 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | vs MIA |
| Quinn Ewers | QB | JAX | 30 | 0 | 0 | 10.9 | 10.9 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | at TEN |
| DJ Uiagalelei | QB | LAC | 30 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | -18.4 | 39.7% | Not listed | at BAL |
| Max Brosmer | QB | MIN | 30 | 0 | 0 | 8.5 | 8.5 | -18.4 | 39.7% | Not listed | at GB |
| Kurtis Rourke | QB | SF | 30 | 0 | 0 | 7.4 | 7.4 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | at DAL |
| Jalen Milroe | QB | SEA | 30 | 0 | 0 | 4.1 | 4.1 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | at LV |
| Dillon Gabriel | QB | CLE | 30 | 0 | 0 | 10.2 | 10.2 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | vs HOU |
| Garrett Nussmeier | QB | KC | 30 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 | 6.7 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | at ATL |
| Cade Klubnik | QB | NYJ | 30 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 | 6.8 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | vs BUF |
| Taylen Green | QB | CLE | 30 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 | 6.9 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | vs HOU |
| Athan Kaliakmanis | QB | WAS | 30 | 0 | 0 | 16.2 | 16.2 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | at NYG |
| Behren Morton | QB | NE | 30 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 | 6.9 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | at DET |
| Haynes King | QB | CAR | 30 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 | 7.3 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | at NO |
| Jack Strand | QB | ATL | 30 | 0 | 0 | 9.1 | 9.1 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | vs KC |
| Carson Beck | QB | ARI | 30 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 | 6.9 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | vs LA |
| Fernando Mendoza | QB | LV | 30 | 0 | 0 | 8.7 | 8.7 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | vs SEA |
| Drew Allar | QB | PIT | 30 | 0 | 0 | 7.4 | 7.4 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | at CIN |
| Ty Simpson | QB | LA | 30 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 | 6.8 | -18.4 | 26.6% | Not listed | at ARI |
| Starter average (QB1–QB12) | — | — | — | 21.1 | 6.8 | 36.4 | 29.6 | 2.6 | 96.1% | — | — |
| Replacement (QB12) | — | — | 12 | 18.4 | 5 | 32.6 | 27.6 | 0 | 96.1% | — | — |
Data as of 2026-11-13 17:02 UTCSource: Kelly's projections: the engine's simulated games scored in each public format; nflverse data (CC BY 4.0), scored by Kelly; Kelly's consensus of the books it tracks; Forecast: National Weather Service; NFL injury reports via nflverseWeek 10, Standard · 6-pt pass TD scoring; projection ens-fit-2026w10-mkt-2026-w10-2026-11-13+mkt-closing-2026-w10.Starters are a 12-team league's (QB1–QB12); replacement is the last of them.Per-game figures from fewer than 4 games are marked as small samples.On bye, so not ranked: CHI, DEN, PHI, TB.
Questions
- Who is the top quarterback for Week 10?
- Joe Burrow (CIN), projected 26.7 Standard · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 9.2 to 43.8.
- Who is the top running back for Week 10?
- Jahmyr Gibbs (DET), projected 15.3 Standard · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 5.8 to 29.7.
- Who is the top wide receiver for Week 10?
- Puka Nacua (LA), projected 11.5 Standard · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 3.5 to 27.2.
- Who is the top tight end for Week 10?
- Brock Bowers (LV), projected 7.9 Standard · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 1.6 to 19.9.
- Who is the top kicker for Week 10?
- Tyler Bass (BUF), projected 9.0 Standard · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 3.0 to 17.0.
- Who is the top defense for Week 10?
- Green Bay Packers D/ST (GB), projected 8.0 Standard · 6-pt pass TD points with a range of 2.0 to 17.0.
- What do the floor and ceiling mean?
- They are the 10th and 90th percentiles of Kelly's 10,000 simulated games for each player: he scores below his floor in 1 game in 10 and above his ceiling in 1 game in 10. The projection is the median.
- Which teams are on bye in Week 10?
- CHI, DEN, PHI, TB.
- What is points over replacement?
- A player's points minus the replacement player's at his position: the last starter in a 12-team league (QB12, RB24, WR36, TE12, K12, DST12). It puts every position on one scale for flex and trade decisions.