NFL player prop history by player
Receptions props in the 2026 season: overs hit 47.2% of decided games against each game's own closing line (258-289-0 over-under-push, 239 players).
Receptions by player (239)
Each player-game is graded against that game's own closing line (Kelly's consensus before the start), main lines only, pushes counted apart. Rates under 10 decided games are marked as small samples. A prop's history is a count of past games against each game's own closing line: never an edge, a fair price or a pick.
Showing (200) of (239) · Totals · Sorted by Graded, high to low · Compared with every player with 10+ decided games (0)
| Player | Pos | Team | Graded | O-U-P | Over % | Avg vs close | Avg close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Williams | WR | WAS | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50% | -0.25 | 3.5 |
| Chig Okonkwo | TE | WAS | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75% | 1.5 | 3.25 |
| Rachaad White | RB | WAS | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25% | -0.25 | 2.5 |
| Stefon Diggs | WR | WAS | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50% | 0.5 | 4 |
| AJ Barner | TE | SEA | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.17 | 2.83 |
| Aaron Jones | RB | MIN | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.5 | 1.83 |
| Adonai Mitchell | WR | NYJ | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.5 | 2.83 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0.83 | 7.17 |
| Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 1.5 | 3.83 |
| Austin Ekeler | RB | WAS | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100% | 1.17 | 1.5 |
| Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | -0.17 | 3.83 |
| Blake Corum | RB | LA | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -0.83 | 1.17 |
| Braelon Allen | RB | NYJ | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 1.17 | 2.17 |
| Brock Bowers | TE | LV | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0.5 | 6.17 |
| Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -1.17 | 2.83 |
| Caleb Douglas | WR | MIA | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0.83 | 3.17 |
| CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0.83 | 6.5 |
| Chase Brown | RB | CIN | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 1.5 | 3.5 |
| Chris Bell | WR | MIA | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0.5 | 1.83 |
| Chris Godwin Jr. | WR | TB | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -2.17 | 4.17 |
| Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0.5 | 5.17 |
| Christian Watson | WR | GB | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100% | 2.17 | 4.5 |
| Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100% | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Colston Loveland | TE | CHI | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 1.5 | 4.5 |
| Cooper Kupp | WR | SEA | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.5 | 2.5 |
| Courtland Sutton | WR | DEN | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100% | 0.83 | 3.17 |
| Cyrus Allen | WR | KC | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0.17 | 0.83 |
| D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.83 | 2.83 |
| Dallas Goedert | TE | PHI | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 0.17 | 4.5 |
| Darius Cooper | WR | PHI | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -1.17 | 2.83 |
| Darnell Mooney | WR | NYG | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Darren Waller | TE | CAR | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 1.17 | 2.17 |
| DeMario Douglas | WR | NE | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 0.17 | 3.5 |
| Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 1.83 | 3.17 |
| Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.5 | 1.5 |
| Devin Singletary | RB | NYG | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.17 | 1.83 |
| Dohnte Meyers | WR | CIN | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0.17 | 1.5 |
| Drake London | WR | ATL | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -1.5 | 5.83 |
| Dylan Sampson | RB | CLE | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100% | 1.83 | 2.17 |
| Efton Chism III | WR | NE | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 1.5 | 2.17 |
| Eli Raridon | TE | NE | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0.17 | 2.17 |
| Elijah Higgins | TE | ARI | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0.5 | 1.83 |
| Evan Engram | TE | DEN | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.83 | 2.5 |
| George Kittle | TE | SF | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 0.17 | 5.5 |
| Greg Dulcich | TE | MIA | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0.5 | 3.17 |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | CLE | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 2.17 | 3.83 |
| Hunter Henry | TE | NE | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 0.5 | 3.83 |
| Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0.5 | 4.83 |
| Ja'Kobi Lane | WR | BAL | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.83 | 2.17 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 1.83 | 6.83 |
| Jahan Dotson | WR | ATL | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.5 | 2.17 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -2.17 | 4.5 |
| Jalen Coker | WR | CAR | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -2.5 | 4.83 |
| Jalen Nailor | WR | LV | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0.83 | 1.83 |
| Jameson Williams | WR | DET | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | -0.17 | 3.5 |
| Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.17 | 1.83 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.17 | 7.5 |
| Jaylen Waddle | WR | DEN | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -1.5 | 4.17 |
| Jerry Jeudy | WR | CLE | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0.17 | 1.83 |
| John Metchie III | WR | CAR | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100% | 0.83 | 1.5 |
| Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 1.17 | 2.5 |
| Jordan Addison | WR | MIN | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -1.17 | 3.5 |
| Josh Cuevas | TE | BAL | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 0.17 | 0.83 |
| Josh Downs | WR | KC | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -1.17 | 4.17 |
| Josh Jacobs | RB | GB | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 1.17 | 2.5 |
| Justice Hill | RB | BAL | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100% | 1.5 | 1.83 |
| Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -2.17 | 6.17 |
| KC Concepcion | WR | CLE | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 0.5 | 4.5 |
| Kalif Raymond | WR | CHI | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.17 | 2.17 |
| Keenan Allen | WR | SF | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 0.17 | 4.5 |
| Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100% | 0.83 | 3.17 |
| Kenny Gainwell | RB | TB | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.83 | 1.83 |
| Kenyon Sadiq | TE | NYJ | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.17 | 2.17 |
| Konata Mumpfield | WR | LA | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.5 | 1.5 |
| Kyle Juszczyk | RB | SF | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.17 | 1.5 |
| Kyle Pitts | TE | ATL | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.17 | 3.5 |
| Kyle Williams | WR | NE | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -1.17 | 1.5 |
| Kyren Williams | RB | LA | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -1.17 | 3.17 |
| Laquon Treadwell | WR | IND | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.83 | 1.83 |
| Luther Burden III | WR | CHI | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 1.5 | 4.5 |
| Makai Lemon | WR | PHI | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100% | 1.83 | 4.5 |
| Malachi Fields | WR | NYG | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100% | 1.17 | 2.17 |
| Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 0.17 | 5.5 |
| Malik Washington | WR | MIA | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -1.17 | 4.5 |
| Mark Andrews | TE | BAL | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -0.5 | 3.17 |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | WR | DEN | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0.17 | 1.5 |
| Mason Taylor | TE | NYJ | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0.17 | 2.83 |
| Matthew Golden | WR | GB | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100% | 2.83 | 4.83 |
| Michael Mayer | TE | LV | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 0.5 | 3.17 |
| Michael Wilson | WR | ARI | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 1.5 | 4.5 |
| Mike Gesicki | TE | CIN | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.17 | 2.5 |
| Noah Gray | TE | KC | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Ollie Gordon II | RB | MIA | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -0.83 | 1.5 |
| Puka Nacua | WR | LA | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100% | 3.17 | 7.83 |
| Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.5 | 1.83 |
| Rashod Bateman | WR | BAL | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.5 | 1.83 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 0.5 | 3.17 |
| Rome Odunze | WR | CHI | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100% | 0.5 | 3.5 |
| Roschon Johnson | RB | CHI | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -0.83 | 1.17 |
| Ryan Flournoy | WR | DAL | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.83 | 3.83 |
| Sam LaPorta | TE | DET | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -1.83 | 4.5 |
| Samaje Perine | RB | CIN | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -1.17 | 1.5 |
| Saquon Barkley | RB | PHI | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -1.17 | 2.17 |
| Savion Williams | WR | GB | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0.17 | 2.17 |
| T.J. Hockenson | TE | MIN | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -0.5 | 4.5 |
| Ted Hurst III | WR | TB | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -2.17 | 2.17 |
| Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 1.83 | 5.17 |
| Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.83 | 5.5 |
| Tez Johnson | WR | TB | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.83 | 2.17 |
| Tommy Tremble | TE | CAR | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.17 | 2.17 |
| Tory Horton | WR | SEA | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0.17 | 1.5 |
| Travis Kelce | TE | KC | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.17 | 4.5 |
| Tre Tucker | WR | LV | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | -0.5 | 3.5 |
| Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 0.5 | 7.5 |
| Troy Franklin | WR | DEN | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 0.17 | 1.17 |
| Tucker Kraft | TE | GB | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.83 | 4.5 |
| Tyler Higbee | TE | LA | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -1.83 | 3.17 |
| Xavier Worthy | WR | KC | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 0.17 | 3.83 |
| Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -1.83 | 5.5 |
| Alvin Kamara | RB | NO | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 2 | 3 |
| Austin Hooper | TE | ATL | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 1 | 0.5 |
| Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAX | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -1 | 2 |
| Brandin Cooks | WR | SF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | -0.5 | 2 |
| Brenton Strange | TE | JAX | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -1.5 | 3.5 |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford | TE | DAL | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Cade Otton | TE | TB | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | -1.5 | 3.5 |
| Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Charlie Kolar | TE | LAC | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 0 | 2 |
| Chris Olave | WR | NO | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 1 | 5.5 |
| DJ Moore | WR | BUF | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -0.5 | 4 |
| DK Metcalf | WR | PIT | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -3 | 4.5 |
| Dalton Kincaid | TE | BUF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 0 | 3.5 |
| Dalton Schultz | TE | HOU | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 0 | 3.5 |
| Darnell Washington | TE | PIT | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | -0.5 | 2.5 |
| Dawson Knox | TE | BUF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 1 | 1.5 |
| Devaughn Vele | WR | NO | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | -0.5 | 4 |
| Eli Stowers | TE | PHI | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -0.5 | 0.5 |
| Elic Ayomanor | WR | TEN | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 1 | 2 |
| Emmett Johnson | RB | KC | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 0.5 | 2 |
| Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| George Pickens | WR | DAL | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -1.5 | 4.5 |
| Germie Bernard | WR | PIT | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | -0.5 | 4.5 |
| Gunnar Helm | TE | TEN | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 2 | 2 |
| Isaac TeSlaa | WR | DET | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -0.5 | 1.5 |
| Jakobi Meyers | WR | JAX | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | -0.5 | 3.5 |
| James Cook | RB | BUF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | -0.5 | 1.5 |
| Jauan Jennings | WR | MIN | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -1 | 3 |
| Jonah Coleman | RB | DEN | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 0.5 | 3.5 |
| Jordan Watkins | WR | SF | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 2 | 1.5 |
| Josh Cameron | WR | JAX | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -1 | 1.5 |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | NO | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -1.5 | 3 |
| Kayshon Boutte | WR | HOU | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 1 | 1.5 |
| Keaton Mitchell | RB | LAC | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Kendrick Bourne | WR | ARI | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -1.5 | 3.5 |
| Keon Coleman | WR | BUF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | -0.5 | 2.5 |
| Khalil Shakir | WR | BUF | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 1 | 3.5 |
| Kimani Vidal | RB | LAC | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 0 | 1.5 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | HOU | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -1 | 2.5 |
| Mitchell Evans | TE | CAR | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Nate Boerkircher | TE | JAX | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 0.5 | 1 |
| Nico Collins | WR | HOU | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -2 | 5 |
| Noah Fant | TE | NO | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 0.5 | 1 |
| Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | NYJ | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 3 | 3.5 |
| Omarion Hampton | RB | LAC | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | -0.5 | 1.5 |
| Oronde Gadsden II | TE | LAC | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 2 | 1.5 |
| Parker Washington | WR | JAX | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -3 | 4.5 |
| Pat Freiermuth | TE | PIT | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -1 | 3 |
| Quentin Johnston | WR | LAC | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 0 | 2.5 |
| Rashee Rice | WR | KC | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 1 | 5 |
| Reggie Virgil | WR | ARI | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -0.5 | 1 |
| Rico Dowdle | RB | PIT | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 1 | 2 |
| Tank Dell | WR | HOU | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 1.5 | 1 |
| Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 1 | 2 |
| Travis Hunter | CB | JAX | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -1 | 1.5 |
| Tre Harris | WR | LAC | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 0.5 | 2.5 |
| Treylon Burks | WR | WAS | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 1 | 1.5 |
| Ty Johnson | RB | BUF | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 0.5 | 2 |
| Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 0 | 2.5 |
| Tyler Warren | TE | IND | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -1 | 5 |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | WR | TEN | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 0 | 5 |
| Woody Marks | RB | HOU | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -1.5 | 2.5 |
| Xavier Hutchinson | WR | HOU | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 1 | 2 |
| Zach Charbonnet | RB | SEA | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Zachariah Branch | WR | ATL | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -1 | 1.5 |
| A.J. Brown | WR | NE | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -1.5 | 4.5 |
| Adam Trautman | TE | DEN | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.5 | 0.5 |
| Andrew Armstrong | WR | KC | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.5 | 1.5 |
| Audric Estime | RB | NO | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Ben Yurosek | TE | MIN | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.5 | 0.5 |
| Blake Whiteheart | TE | CLE | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Bo Melton | WR | GB | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.5 | 0.5 |
| Breece Hall | RB | NYJ | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.5 | 2.5 |
| Brian Thomas Jr. | WR | JAX | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.5 | 1.5 |
| Bryce Lance | WR | NO | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Brycen Tremayne | WR | CAR | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Calvin Ridley | WR | TEN | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.5 | 1.5 |
| Carnell Tate | WR | TEN | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.5 | 4.5 |
| Colby Parkinson | TE | LA | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Cole Kmet | TE | CHI | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| All players, Receptions | — | — | 547 | 258-289-0 | 47.2% | 0.05 | 2.94 |
Data as of 2026-11-13 01:15 UTCSource: Kelly's consensus closing line: each book's last price before the start, margin removed, then averaged; nflverse data (CC BY 4.0)Seasons 2026, regular season and playoffs; each player-game graded against that game's own closing line (Kelly's consensus before the start), main lines only, pushes counted apart.Rates under 10 decided games are marked as small samples and left out of the ranks.A prop's history is a count of past games against each game's own closing line: never an edge, a fair price or a pick.