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Kelly

NFL player prop history by player

Anytime TD props in the 2026 season: overs hit 19.8% of decided games against each game's own closing line (192-777-0 over-under-push, 424 players).

Anytime TD by player (424)

Each player-game is graded against that game's own closing line (Kelly's consensus before the start), main lines only, pushes counted apart. Rates under 10 decided games are marked as small samples. A prop's history is a count of past games against each game's own closing line: never an edge, a fair price or a pick.

Showing (200) of (424) · Totals · Sorted by Graded, high to low · Compared with every player with 10+ decided games (0)

PlayerPosTeamGradedO-U-POver %Avg vs closeAvg close
Antonio WilliamsWRWAS41-3-025%-0.250.5
Austin EkelerRBWAS40-4-00%-0.50.5
Chig OkonkwoTEWAS40-4-00%-0.50.5
Jayden DanielsQBWAS40-4-00%-0.50.5
Luke McCaffreyWRWAS40-4-00%-0.50.5
Rachaad WhiteRBWAS42-2-050%00.5
Stefon DiggsWRWAS43-1-075%0.250.5
AJ BarnerTESEA31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Aaron JonesRBMIN30-3-00%-0.50.5
Adam PrenticeRBDEN30-3-00%-0.50.5
Adam TrautmanTEDEN30-3-00%-0.50.5
Adonai MitchellWRNYJ31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Amon-Ra St. BrownWRDET30-3-00%-0.50.5
Andrew ArmstrongWRKC30-3-00%-0.50.5
Anthony Tyus IIIRBCAR31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Ashton DulinWRIND31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Ashton JeantyRBLV31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Baker MayfieldQBTB30-3-00%-0.50.5
Bijan RobinsonRBATL31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Blake CorumRBLA33-0-0100%0.50.5
Bo MeltonWRGB30-3-00%-0.50.5
Bo NixQBDEN31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Braelon AllenRBNYJ31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Brandin CooksWRSF30-3-00%-0.50.5
Brevyn Spann-FordTEDAL30-3-00%-0.50.5
Brock BowersTELV32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Brock PurdyQBSF31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Bryce YoungQBCAR30-3-00%-0.50.5
Brycen TremayneWRCAR30-3-00%-0.50.5
Bucky IrvingRBTB33-0-0100%0.50.5
Caleb DouglasWRMIA31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Caleb WilliamsQBCHI30-3-00%-0.50.5
CeeDee LambWRDAL32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Charlie JonesWRNYG30-3-00%-0.50.5
Charlie WoernerTEATL31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Chase BrownRBCIN30-3-00%-0.50.5
Chris BellWRMIA30-3-00%-0.50.5
Chris Godwin Jr.WRTB30-3-00%-0.50.5
Christian McCaffreyRBSF33-0-0100%0.50.5
Christian WatsonWRGB31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Chuba HubbardRBCAR31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Coleman OwenWRGB30-3-00%-0.50.5
Colson YankoffTEWAS30-3-00%-0.50.5
Colston LovelandTECHI31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Cooper KuppWRSEA31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Corey KinerRBNE31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Courtland SuttonWRDEN31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Cyrus AllenWRKC30-3-00%-0.50.5
D'Andre SwiftRBCHI32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Dak PrescottQBDAL31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Dallas GoedertTEPHI30-3-00%-0.50.5
Daniel JonesQBIND30-3-00%-0.50.5
Darius CooperWRPHI30-3-00%-0.50.5
Darnell MooneyWRNYG30-3-00%-0.50.5
Darren WallerTECAR32-1-066.7%0.170.5
David MooreWRCAR30-3-00%-0.50.5
DeAndre CarterWRDET30-3-00%-0.50.5
DeMario DouglasWRNE31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
DeeJay DallasRBMIN30-3-00%-0.50.5
Deion BurksWRIND30-3-00%-0.50.5
Denzel BostonWRCLE30-3-00%-0.50.5
Derrick HenryRBBAL31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Devin DuvernayWRARI30-3-00%-0.50.5
Devin SingletaryRBNYG31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Dohnte MeyersWRCIN30-3-00%-0.50.5
Drake LondonWRATL31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Drake MayeQBNE32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Dylan LaubeRBLV30-3-00%-0.50.5
Dylan SampsonRBCLE30-3-00%-0.50.5
Efton Chism IIIWRNE31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Eli RaridonTENE31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Eli StowersTEPHI30-3-00%-0.50.5
Elijah HigginsTEARI30-3-00%-0.50.5
Elijah MitchellRBPHI30-3-00%-0.50.5
Emmett JohnsonRBKC32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Evan EngramTEDEN30-3-00%-0.50.5
Geno SmithQBNYJ30-3-00%-0.50.5
George HolaniRBSEA30-3-00%-0.50.5
George KittleTESF31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Greg DulcichTEMIA30-3-00%-0.50.5
Harold Fannin Jr.TECLE31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Hunter HenryTENE30-3-00%-0.50.5
Isaiah DavisRBNYJ30-3-00%-0.50.5
Isaiah LikelyTENYG32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Isaiah WilliamsWRNYJ31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
J. Michael SturdivantWRGB30-3-00%-0.50.5
J.J. McCarthyQBNYG30-3-00%-0.50.5
J.K. DobbinsRBDEN31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Ja'Kobi LaneWRBAL30-3-00%-0.50.5
Ja'Marr ChaseWRCIN33-0-0100%0.50.5
Jacob CowingWRSF30-3-00%-0.50.5
Jahan DotsonWRATL30-3-00%-0.50.5
Jahdae WalkerWRCHI30-3-00%-0.50.5
Jahmyr GibbsRBDET32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Jalen CokerWRCAR31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Jalen NailorWRLV31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Jalen RoyalsWRKC30-3-00%-0.50.5
Jameson WilliamsWRDET32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Jared GoffQBDET30-3-00%-0.50.5
Javonte WilliamsRBDAL32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWRSEA32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Jaylen WaddleWRDEN31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Jerry JeudyWRCLE30-3-00%-0.50.5
Joe BurrowQBCIN32-1-066.7%0.170.5
John BatesTEWAS30-3-00%-0.50.5
John Metchie IIIWRCAR30-3-00%-0.50.5
Jonah ColemanRBDEN32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Jonathan MingoWRDAL30-3-00%-0.50.5
Jonathan TaylorRBIND31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Jordan AddisonWRMIN30-3-00%-0.50.5
Jordan LoveQBGB31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Jordan MasonRBMIN30-3-00%-0.50.5
Jordan WatkinsWRSF31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Jordan WhittingtonWRLA30-3-00%-0.50.5
Josh CuevasTEBAL30-3-00%-0.50.5
Josh DownsWRKC31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Josh JacobsRBGB32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Justice HillRBBAL31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Justin JeffersonWRMIN31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
KC ConcepcionWRCLE31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Kaelon BlackRBSF31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Kalif RaymondWRCHI30-3-00%-0.50.5
Keenan AllenWRSF30-3-00%-0.50.5
Kenneth Walker IIIRBKC31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Kenny GainwellRBTB30-3-00%-0.50.5
Kenyon SadiqTENYJ30-3-00%-0.50.5
Kevin Coleman Jr.WRMIA31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Khalil HerbertRBATL30-3-00%-0.50.5
Kirk CousinsQBMIN32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Ko KieftTETB30-3-00%-0.50.5
Konata MumpfieldWRLA30-3-00%-0.50.5
Kyle JuszczykRBSF31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Kyle PittsTEATL31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Kyle WilliamsWRNE31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Kyren WilliamsRBLA32-1-066.7%0.170.5
LaJohntay WesterWRBAL30-3-00%-0.50.5
Laquon TreadwellWRIND30-3-00%-0.50.5
Luke FarrellTESF30-3-00%-0.50.5
Luther Burden IIIWRCHI33-0-0100%0.50.5
Makai LemonWRPHI31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Malachi CorleyWRCLE30-3-00%-0.50.5
Malachi FieldsWRNYG30-3-00%-0.50.5
Malik NabersWRNYG30-3-00%-0.50.5
Malik WashingtonWRMIA31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Malik WillisQBMIA31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Mark AndrewsTEBAL30-3-00%-0.50.5
Marvin Mims Jr.WRDEN30-3-00%-0.50.5
Mason TaylorTENYJ31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Matthew GoldenWRGB32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Matthew HibnerTEBAL30-3-00%-0.50.5
Matthew StaffordQBLA30-3-00%-0.50.5
Michael MayerTELV30-3-00%-0.50.5
Michael Penix Jr.QBATL30-3-00%-0.50.5
Michael WilsonWRARI31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Mike GesickiTECIN32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Mike Washington Jr.RBLV30-3-00%-0.50.5
Mitchell EvansTECAR30-3-00%-0.50.5
Myles PriceWRMIN30-3-00%-0.50.5
Nate AdkinsTEDEN31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Nick MuseTEATL31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Nikko RemigioWR—30-3-00%-0.50.5
Noah GrayTEKC31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Ollie Gordon IIRBMIA31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Patrick MahomesQBKC30-3-00%-0.50.5
Puka NacuaWRLA33-0-0100%0.50.5
Quinshon JudkinsRBCLE31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Rasheen AliRBBAL30-3-00%-0.50.5
Rashod BatemanWRBAL30-3-00%-0.50.5
Rhamondre StevensonRBNE32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Rome OdunzeWRCHI31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Roschon JohnsonRBCHI30-3-00%-0.50.5
Ryan FlournoyWRDAL31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Sam LaPortaTEDET30-3-00%-0.50.5
Samaje PerineRBCIN31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Saquon BarkleyRBPHI33-0-0100%0.50.5
Savion WilliamsWRGB31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Sean TuckerRBTB31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Seth McGowanRBIND31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Seydou TraoreTEMIA30-3-00%-0.50.5
Sione VakiRBDET30-3-00%-0.50.5
T.J. HockensonTEMIN32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Tahj BrooksRBCIN30-3-00%-0.50.5
Ted Hurst IIIWRTB30-3-00%-0.50.5
Tee HigginsWRCIN33-0-0100%0.50.5
Tetairoa McMillanWRCAR31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Tez JohnsonWRTB31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Tommy TrembleTECAR31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Tory HortonWRSEA30-3-00%-0.50.5
Travis KelceTEKC31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Tre TuckerWRLV31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Trevor EtienneRBCAR30-3-00%-0.50.5
Trey McBrideTEARI32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Treylon BurksWRWAS30-3-00%-0.50.5
Troy FranklinWRDEN30-3-00%-0.50.5
Tucker KraftTEGB32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Tyler AllgeierRBARI31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Tyler ConklinTEDET30-3-00%-0.50.5
Tyler GoodsonRBDAL30-3-00%-0.50.5
Tyler HigbeeTELA30-3-00%-0.50.5
Xavier WorthyWRKC30-3-00%-0.50.5
All players, Anytime TD——969192-777-019.8%-0.30.5

Data as of 2026-11-13 01:15 UTCSource: Kelly's consensus closing line: each book's last price before the start, margin removed, then averaged; nflverse data (CC BY 4.0)Seasons 2026, regular season and playoffs; each player-game graded against that game's own closing line (Kelly's consensus before the start), main lines only, pushes counted apart.Rates under 10 decided games are marked as small samples and left out of the ranks.A prop's history is a count of past games against each game's own closing line: never an edge, a fair price or a pick.