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Kelly

NFL player prop history by player

Rush + receiving yards props in the 2026 season: overs hit 48.4% of decided games against each game's own closing line (62-66-0 over-under-push, 63 players).

Rush + receiving yards by player (63)

Each player-game is graded against that game's own closing line (Kelly's consensus before the start), main lines only, pushes counted apart. Rates under 10 decided games are marked as small samples. A prop's history is a count of past games against each game's own closing line: never an edge, a fair price or a pick.

Showing (63) of (63) · Totals · Sorted by Graded, high to low · Compared with every player with 10+ decided games (0)

PlayerPosTeamGradedO-U-POver %Avg vs closeAvg close
Aaron JonesRBMIN30-3-00%-17.546.5
Ashton JeantyRBLV30-3-00%-21.577.83
Blake CorumRBLA32-1-066.7%20.8356.5
Bucky IrvingRBTB33-0-0100%47.587.5
Chase BrownRBCIN31-2-033.3%2.1775.83
Chuba HubbardRBCAR32-1-066.7%3.1788.5
D'Andre SwiftRBCHI31-2-033.3%-20.1786.83
Derrick HenryRBBAL30-3-00%-32.587.83
Jahmyr GibbsRBDET32-1-066.7%-4.5132.83
Javonte WilliamsRBDAL32-1-066.7%24.8387.17
Jonathan TaylorRBIND31-2-033.3%-9.8383.5
Josh JacobsRBGB31-2-033.3%-22.8372.17
Justice HillRBBAL33-0-0100%25.1728.17
Kenneth Walker IIIRBKC31-2-033.3%-17.83112.5
Kenny GainwellRBTB33-0-0100%70.8330.5
Ollie Gordon IIRBMIA31-2-033.3%1.8376.83
Quinshon JudkinsRBCLE31-2-033.3%-0.1766.17
Rachaad WhiteRBWAS32-1-066.7%3.1757.17
Rhamondre StevensonRBNE32-1-066.7%14.8379.5
Roschon JohnsonRBCHI31-2-033.3%-13.8327.5
Samaje PerineRBCIN31-2-033.3%-7.1733.17
Saquon BarkleyRBPHI30-3-00%-22.571.5
Alvin KamaraRBNO21-1-050%9.546
Austin EkelerRBWAS21-1-050%2.540.5
Bhayshul TutenRBJAX21-1-050%12.581.5
Bijan RobinsonRBATL20-2-00%-22121
Braelon AllenRBNYJ22-0-0100%30.573
Christian McCaffreyRBSF20-2-00%-13.5107
Devin SingletaryRBNYG20-2-00%-31.552.5
Emmett JohnsonRBKC22-0-0100%64.524
James CookRBBUF22-0-0100%4100
Jaylen WarrenRBPIT22-0-0100%4694
Jonah ColemanRBDEN22-0-0100%1779
Keaton MitchellRBLAC21-1-050%21.523.5
Kimani VidalRBLAC21-1-050%033
Kyren WilliamsRBLA20-2-00%-29.589.5
Luther Burden IIIWRCHI21-1-050%1165.5
Omarion HamptonRBLAC21-1-050%-245.5
Rico DowdleRBPIT22-0-0100%2843
Tony PollardRBTEN22-0-0100%65.580.5
Tyler AllgeierRBARI21-1-050%-11.559
Woody MarksRBHOU20-2-00%-7.585
Zach CharbonnetRBSEA21-1-050%1443.5
Audric EstimeRBNO11-0-0100%35.541.5
Breece HallRBNYJ11-0-0100%27.559.5
Cam SkatteboRBNYG11-0-0100%45.576.5
Corey KinerRBNE10-1-00%-3.541.5
Dylan SampsonRBCLE11-0-0100%38.530.5
George HolaniRBSEA11-0-0100%1.521.5
J.K. DobbinsRBDEN10-1-00%-33.556.5
Jadarian PriceRBSEA11-0-0100%8.569.5
Jeremiyah LoveRBARI10-1-00%-37.560.5
Jordan MasonRBMIN10-1-00%-9.551.5
Kendre MillerRBDAL10-1-00%-17.545.5
Malik WashingtonWRMIA10-1-00%-10.550.5
MarShawn LloydRBGB10-1-00%-10.526.5
Puka NacuaWRLA10-1-00%-22.5102.5
RJ HarveyRBDEN11-0-0100%13.546.5
Savion WilliamsWRGB10-1-00%-7.530.5
TreVeyon HendersonRBNE10-1-00%-9.532.5
Ty JohnsonRBBUF11-0-0100%0.522.5
Tyler GoodsonRBDAL11-0-0100%49.527.5
Tyrone Tracy Jr.RBNYG10-1-00%-18.535.5
All players, Rush + receiving yards——12862-66-048.4%4.1465.62

Data as of 2026-11-13 01:15 UTCSource: Kelly's consensus closing line: each book's last price before the start, margin removed, then averaged; nflverse data (CC BY 4.0)Seasons 2026, regular season and playoffs; each player-game graded against that game's own closing line (Kelly's consensus before the start), main lines only, pushes counted apart.Rates under 10 decided games are marked as small samples and left out of the ranks.A prop's history is a count of past games against each game's own closing line: never an edge, a fair price or a pick.