NFL player prop history by player
Rush + receiving yards props in the 2026 season: overs hit 48.4% of decided games against each game's own closing line (62-66-0 over-under-push, 63 players).
Rush + receiving yards by player (63)
Each player-game is graded against that game's own closing line (Kelly's consensus before the start), main lines only, pushes counted apart. Rates under 10 decided games are marked as small samples. A prop's history is a count of past games against each game's own closing line: never an edge, a fair price or a pick.
Showing (63) of (63) · Totals · Sorted by Graded, high to low · Compared with every player with 10+ decided games (0)
| Player | Pos | Team | Graded | O-U-P | Over % | Avg vs close | Avg close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones | RB | MIN | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -17.5 | 46.5 |
| Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -21.5 | 77.83 |
| Blake Corum | RB | LA | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 20.83 | 56.5 |
| Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100% | 47.5 | 87.5 |
| Chase Brown | RB | CIN | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 2.17 | 75.83 |
| Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 3.17 | 88.5 |
| D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -20.17 | 86.83 |
| Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -32.5 | 87.83 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | -4.5 | 132.83 |
| Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 24.83 | 87.17 |
| Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -9.83 | 83.5 |
| Josh Jacobs | RB | GB | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -22.83 | 72.17 |
| Justice Hill | RB | BAL | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100% | 25.17 | 28.17 |
| Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -17.83 | 112.5 |
| Kenny Gainwell | RB | TB | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100% | 70.83 | 30.5 |
| Ollie Gordon II | RB | MIA | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 1.83 | 76.83 |
| Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.17 | 66.17 |
| Rachaad White | RB | WAS | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 3.17 | 57.17 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 14.83 | 79.5 |
| Roschon Johnson | RB | CHI | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -13.83 | 27.5 |
| Samaje Perine | RB | CIN | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -7.17 | 33.17 |
| Saquon Barkley | RB | PHI | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -22.5 | 71.5 |
| Alvin Kamara | RB | NO | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 9.5 | 46 |
| Austin Ekeler | RB | WAS | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 2.5 | 40.5 |
| Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAX | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 12.5 | 81.5 |
| Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -22 | 121 |
| Braelon Allen | RB | NYJ | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 30.5 | 73 |
| Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -13.5 | 107 |
| Devin Singletary | RB | NYG | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -31.5 | 52.5 |
| Emmett Johnson | RB | KC | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 64.5 | 24 |
| James Cook | RB | BUF | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 4 | 100 |
| Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 46 | 94 |
| Jonah Coleman | RB | DEN | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 17 | 79 |
| Keaton Mitchell | RB | LAC | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 21.5 | 23.5 |
| Kimani Vidal | RB | LAC | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 0 | 33 |
| Kyren Williams | RB | LA | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -29.5 | 89.5 |
| Luther Burden III | WR | CHI | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 11 | 65.5 |
| Omarion Hampton | RB | LAC | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | -2 | 45.5 |
| Rico Dowdle | RB | PIT | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 28 | 43 |
| Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 65.5 | 80.5 |
| Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | -11.5 | 59 |
| Woody Marks | RB | HOU | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -7.5 | 85 |
| Zach Charbonnet | RB | SEA | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 14 | 43.5 |
| Audric Estime | RB | NO | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 35.5 | 41.5 |
| Breece Hall | RB | NYJ | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 27.5 | 59.5 |
| Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 45.5 | 76.5 |
| Corey Kiner | RB | NE | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -3.5 | 41.5 |
| Dylan Sampson | RB | CLE | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 38.5 | 30.5 |
| George Holani | RB | SEA | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 1.5 | 21.5 |
| J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -33.5 | 56.5 |
| Jadarian Price | RB | SEA | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 8.5 | 69.5 |
| Jeremiyah Love | RB | ARI | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -37.5 | 60.5 |
| Jordan Mason | RB | MIN | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -9.5 | 51.5 |
| Kendre Miller | RB | DAL | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -17.5 | 45.5 |
| Malik Washington | WR | MIA | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -10.5 | 50.5 |
| MarShawn Lloyd | RB | GB | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -10.5 | 26.5 |
| Puka Nacua | WR | LA | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -22.5 | 102.5 |
| RJ Harvey | RB | DEN | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 13.5 | 46.5 |
| Savion Williams | WR | GB | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -7.5 | 30.5 |
| TreVeyon Henderson | RB | NE | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -9.5 | 32.5 |
| Ty Johnson | RB | BUF | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.5 | 22.5 |
| Tyler Goodson | RB | DAL | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 49.5 | 27.5 |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | NYG | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -18.5 | 35.5 |
| All players, Rush + receiving yards | — | — | 128 | 62-66-0 | 48.4% | 4.14 | 65.62 |
Data as of 2026-11-13 01:15 UTCSource: Kelly's consensus closing line: each book's last price before the start, margin removed, then averaged; nflverse data (CC BY 4.0)Seasons 2026, regular season and playoffs; each player-game graded against that game's own closing line (Kelly's consensus before the start), main lines only, pushes counted apart.Rates under 10 decided games are marked as small samples and left out of the ranks.A prop's history is a count of past games against each game's own closing line: never an edge, a fair price or a pick.