NFL player prop history by player
Rushing yards props in the 2026 season: overs hit 45.6% of decided games against each game's own closing line (123-147-0 over-under-push, 119 players).
Rushing yards by player (119)
Each player-game is graded against that game's own closing line (Kelly's consensus before the start), main lines only, pushes counted apart. Rates under 10 decided games are marked as small samples. A prop's history is a count of past games against each game's own closing line: never an edge, a fair price or a pick.
Showing (119) of (119) · Totals · Sorted by Graded, high to low · Compared with every player with 10+ decided games (0)
| Player | Pos | Team | Graded | O-U-P | Over % | Avg vs close | Avg close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0% | -17.75 | 37 |
| Rachaad White | RB | WAS | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50% | -0.75 | 40 |
| Aaron Jones | RB | MIN | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -11.5 | 32.83 |
| Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -26.17 | 42.5 |
| Austin Ekeler | RB | WAS | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -9.5 | 24.5 |
| Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -11.17 | 16.17 |
| Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -9.17 | 88.83 |
| Blake Corum | RB | LA | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100% | 31.17 | 43.5 |
| Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 13.5 | 12.83 |
| Braelon Allen | RB | NYJ | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100% | 31.83 | 62.83 |
| Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 5.17 | 19.17 |
| Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -2.17 | 9.5 |
| Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100% | 57.5 | 66.83 |
| Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -8.83 | 20.5 |
| Chase Brown | RB | CIN | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 0.5 | 49.83 |
| Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | -2.83 | 59.83 |
| Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | -3.17 | 67.5 |
| Corey Kiner | RB | NE | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 11.83 | 23.5 |
| D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | -1.83 | 61.17 |
| Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 1.83 | 7.83 |
| Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 3.17 | 7.17 |
| Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -25.5 | 77.17 |
| Drake Maye | QB | NE | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -14.5 | 25.83 |
| Emmett Johnson | RB | KC | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 6.83 | 9.5 |
| Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -2.5 | 6.5 |
| J.J. McCarthy | QB | NYG | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0.83 | 18.17 |
| J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -15.83 | 33.83 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 21.17 | 93.17 |
| Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 33.5 | 70.5 |
| Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 3.17 | 6.5 |
| Jonah Coleman | RB | DEN | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 10.83 | 39.83 |
| Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -6.17 | 60.83 |
| Jordan Love | QB | GB | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -0.83 | 5.17 |
| Jordan Mason | RB | MIN | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -7.17 | 48.17 |
| Josh Jacobs | RB | GB | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -25.5 | 52.17 |
| Justice Hill | RB | BAL | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 24.17 | 11.5 |
| Kaelon Black | RB | SF | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100% | 24.17 | 31.5 |
| Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -16.5 | 85.5 |
| Kenny Gainwell | RB | TB | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 65.5 | 15.83 |
| Khalil Herbert | RB | ATL | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 1.17 | 8.17 |
| Kirk Cousins | QB | MIN | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 1.83 | 1.17 |
| Kyren Williams | RB | LA | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 4.5 | 62.17 |
| Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -15.83 | 31.17 |
| Michael Penix Jr. | QB | ATL | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 17.17 | 2.83 |
| Mike Washington Jr. | RB | LV | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 6.17 | 29.5 |
| Ollie Gordon II | RB | MIA | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 12.5 | 63.17 |
| Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -4.83 | 14.17 |
| Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 1.5 | 53.17 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -6.5 | 51.83 |
| Roschon Johnson | RB | CHI | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | -8.17 | 18.17 |
| Samaje Perine | RB | CIN | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 0.5 | 22.5 |
| Saquon Barkley | RB | PHI | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0% | -15.83 | 53.83 |
| Seth McGowan | RB | IND | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100% | 18.83 | 21.17 |
| Sione Vaki | RB | DET | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 18.17 | 9.83 |
| Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 39.5 | 31.17 |
| Tyler Goodson | RB | DAL | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 25.5 | 17.5 |
| Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| Alvin Kamara | RB | NO | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -7.5 | 26 |
| Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAX | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 3 | 63.5 |
| C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 3 | 9 |
| Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 51 | 50 |
| Cam Ward | QB | TEN | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 13.5 | 9.5 |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. | RB | JAX | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | -1.5 | 31.5 |
| Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -17 | 27.5 |
| Devin Singletary | RB | NYG | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -20.5 | 37.5 |
| Dylan Sampson | RB | CLE | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | -0.5 | 14.5 |
| Elijah Mitchell | RB | PHI | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | -6.5 | 26.5 |
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | BAL | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 3 | 8.5 |
| Jadarian Price | RB | SEA | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | -15.5 | 42 |
| James Cook | RB | BUF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 8 | 85.5 |
| Jared Goff | QB | DET | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -1 | 0.5 |
| Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 57 | 65 |
| Jaylen Wright | RB | MIA | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -8.5 | 15 |
| Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -10.5 | 33 |
| Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -12 | 23 |
| Keaton Mitchell | RB | LAC | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 6.5 | 13 |
| Kimani Vidal | RB | LAC | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 6 | 20.5 |
| Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 12.5 | 24.5 |
| Luther Burden III | WR | CHI | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -3 | 3 |
| MarShawn Lloyd | RB | GB | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 0 | 13.5 |
| Matthew Stafford | QB | LA | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -2 | 0.5 |
| Omarion Hampton | RB | LAC | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 6.5 | 33.5 |
| Ray Davis | RB | BUF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 11.5 | 4.5 |
| Rico Dowdle | RB | PIT | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 18 | 30.5 |
| Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 14 | 4.5 |
| Sean Tucker | RB | TB | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 19 | 7 |
| Tanner McKee | QB | PHI | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 10 | 3 |
| Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 55 | 68 |
| Trevor Etienne | RB | CAR | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | -3.5 | 7.5 |
| Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | -7.5 | 12 |
| Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 14.5 | 14.5 |
| Woody Marks | RB | HOU | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 4.5 | 63.5 |
| Zach Charbonnet | RB | SEA | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 18.5 | 31.5 |
| Audric Estime | RB | NO | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 37.5 | 34.5 |
| Bam Knight | RB | ARI | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -10.5 | 18.5 |
| Breece Hall | RB | NYJ | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 23.5 | 37.5 |
| Carson Wentz | QB | MIN | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -7.5 | 7.5 |
| Dameon Pierce | RB | — | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 27.5 | 19.5 |
| Drew Lock | QB | SEA | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 10.5 | 5.5 |
| Emanuel Wilson | RB | SEA | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 48.5 | 51.5 |
| Gardner Minshew | QB | ARI | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| George Holani | RB | SEA | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 1.5 | 9.5 |
| Isaiah Davis | RB | NYJ | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 5.5 | 9.5 |
| Jeremiyah Love | RB | ARI | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -23.5 | 46.5 |
| Jeremy McNichols | RB | WAS | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 1.5 | 19.5 |
| Joe Fagnano | QB | BAL | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 5.5 | 7.5 |
| Joe Milton III | QB | PHI | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 38.5 | 25.5 |
| Kendre Miller | RB | DAL | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -31.5 | 37.5 |
| Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -25.5 | 25.5 |
| Malik Washington | WR | MIA | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -5.5 | 5.5 |
| Puka Nacua | WR | LA | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.5 | 0.5 |
| RJ Harvey | RB | DEN | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -8.5 | 14.5 |
| Savion Williams | WR | GB | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 14.5 | 3.5 |
| Shedeur Sanders | QB | CLE | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 11.5 | 16.5 |
| TreVeyon Henderson | RB | NE | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -15.5 | 24.5 |
| Ty Johnson | RB | BUF | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.5 | 3.5 |
| Tyler Huntley | QB | BAL | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -13.5 | 25.5 |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | NYG | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -7.5 | 22.5 |
| Velus Jones Jr. | RB | SEA | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | -3.5 | 11.5 |
| All players, Rushing yards | — | — | 270 | 123-147-0 | 45.6% | 4.31 | 30.9 |
Data as of 2026-11-13 01:15 UTCSource: Kelly's consensus closing line: each book's last price before the start, margin removed, then averaged; nflverse data (CC BY 4.0)Seasons 2026, regular season and playoffs; each player-game graded against that game's own closing line (Kelly's consensus before the start), main lines only, pushes counted apart.Rates under 10 decided games are marked as small samples and left out of the ranks.A prop's history is a count of past games against each game's own closing line: never an edge, a fair price or a pick.