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Kelly

NFL player prop history by player

Rush attempts props in the 2026 season: overs hit 42.5% of decided games against each game's own closing line (65-88-0 over-under-push, 76 players).

Rush attempts by player (76)

Each player-game is graded against that game's own closing line (Kelly's consensus before the start), main lines only, pushes counted apart. Rates under 10 decided games are marked as small samples. A prop's history is a count of past games against each game's own closing line: never an edge, a fair price or a pick.

Showing (76) of (76) · Totals · Sorted by Graded, high to low · Compared with every player with 10+ decided games (0)

PlayerPosTeamGradedO-U-POver %Avg vs closeAvg close
Aaron JonesRBMIN30-3-00%-2.58.5
Ashton JeantyRBLV30-3-00%-6.8312.17
Bijan RobinsonRBATL31-2-033.3%-0.1719.5
Blake CorumRBLA33-0-0100%3.179.83
Braelon AllenRBNYJ31-2-033.3%-0.1715.5
Bucky IrvingRBTB33-0-0100%7.8315.83
Chase BrownRBCIN30-3-00%-2.513.17
Chuba HubbardRBCAR31-2-033.3%-2.1717.17
D'Andre SwiftRBCHI32-1-066.7%4.8315.5
Derrick HenryRBBAL30-3-00%-3.1718.17
Drake MayeQBNE31-2-033.3%-0.835.17
J.K. DobbinsRBDEN30-3-00%-4.179.83
Jahmyr GibbsRBDET32-1-066.7%3.1720.83
Javonte WilliamsRBDAL33-0-0100%5.8317.17
Jayden DanielsQBWAS31-2-033.3%-0.56.17
Jonathan TaylorRBIND31-2-033.3%-2.515.5
Jordan MasonRBMIN31-2-033.3%-2.1711.83
Josh JacobsRBGB31-2-033.3%-2.1714.17
Kenneth Walker IIIRBKC31-2-033.3%-1.8319.5
Kyren WilliamsRBLA33-0-0100%1.514.17
Malik WillisQBMIA31-2-033.3%-2.56.17
Ollie Gordon IIRBMIA32-1-066.7%4.8315.17
Patrick MahomesQBKC30-3-00%-1.173.17
Quinshon JudkinsRBCLE31-2-033.3%-0.514.83
Rachaad WhiteRBWAS31-2-033.3%-1.1710.83
Rhamondre StevensonRBNE31-2-033.3%-2.8313.17
Samaje PerineRBCIN31-2-033.3%-0.176.5
Saquon BarkleyRBPHI32-1-066.7%-2.1713.17
Austin EkelerRBWAS22-0-0100%17.5
Bhayshul TutenRBJAX21-1-050%-0.514.5
Caleb WilliamsQBCHI21-1-050%-14.5
Chris Rodriguez Jr.RBJAX21-1-050%08
Christian McCaffreyRBSF21-1-050%-1.514
Devin SingletaryRBNYG21-1-050%0.510.5
J.J. McCarthyQBNYG21-1-050%-14.5
James CookRBBUF22-0-0100%7.518.5
Jaylen WarrenRBPIT22-0-0100%314.5
Jonah ColemanRBDEN21-1-050%212
Josh AllenQBBUF20-2-00%-17.5
Justin HerbertQBLAC20-2-00%-24.5
Kyler MurrayQBMIN20-2-00%-0.55
Omarion HamptonRBLAC21-1-050%110
Rico DowdleRBPIT22-0-0100%4.57.5
Roschon JohnsonRBCHI20-2-00%-5.56.5
Tony PollardRBTEN22-0-0100%6.516.5
Trevor LawrenceQBJAX20-2-00%-1.53.5
Tyler AllgeierRBARI21-1-050%012.5
Tyler ShoughQBNO21-1-050%2.54
Woody MarksRBHOU22-0-0100%216.5
Alvin KamaraRBNO10-1-00%-5.511.5
Audric EstimeRBNO11-0-0100%5.59.5
Bam KnightRBARI10-1-00%-3.510.5
Bo NixQBDEN10-1-00%-1.54.5
Breece HallRBNYJ11-0-0100%4.510.5
Brock PurdyQBSF10-1-00%-2.54.5
Cam SkatteboRBNYG11-0-0100%1.516.5
Carson WentzQBMIN10-1-00%-1.52.5
Dameon PierceRB—11-0-0100%8.55.5
Deshaun WatsonQBCLE10-1-00%-2.55.5
Emanuel WilsonRBSEA11-0-0100%9.514.5
Emmett JohnsonRBKC11-0-0100%2.53.5
Jadarian PriceRBSEA10-1-00%-4.513.5
Jaylen WrightRBMIA10-1-00%-2.54.5
Jeremiyah LoveRBARI10-1-00%-0.59.5
Jordan LoveQBGB10-1-00%-1.51.5
Kaelon BlackRBSF11-0-0100%1.59.5
Kendre MillerRBDAL10-1-00%-3.511.5
Kenny GainwellRBTB10-1-00%-1.56.5
Kimani VidalRBLAC11-0-0100%1.55.5
Lamar JacksonQBBAL10-1-00%-4.54.5
MarShawn LloydRBGB10-1-00%-2.55.5
Mike Washington Jr.RBLV10-1-00%-3.59.5
Sione VakiRBDET10-1-00%-2.55.5
TreVeyon HendersonRBNE10-1-00%-3.56.5
Tyler HuntleyQBBAL10-1-00%-2.55.5
Zach CharbonnetRBSEA11-0-0100%5.510.5
All players, Rush attempts——15365-88-042.5%-0.0711.12

Data as of 2026-11-13 01:15 UTCSource: Kelly's consensus closing line: each book's last price before the start, margin removed, then averaged; nflverse data (CC BY 4.0)Seasons 2026, regular season and playoffs; each player-game graded against that game's own closing line (Kelly's consensus before the start), main lines only, pushes counted apart.Rates under 10 decided games are marked as small samples and left out of the ranks.A prop's history is a count of past games against each game's own closing line: never an edge, a fair price or a pick.