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Kelly

NFL player prop history by player

Interceptions thrown props in the 2026 season: overs hit 55.7% of decided games against each game's own closing line (49-39-0 over-under-push, 39 players).

Interceptions thrown by player (39)

Each player-game is graded against that game's own closing line (Kelly's consensus before the start), main lines only, pushes counted apart. Rates under 10 decided games are marked as small samples. A prop's history is a count of past games against each game's own closing line: never an edge, a fair price or a pick.

Showing (39) of (39) · Totals · Sorted by Graded, high to low · Compared with every player with 10+ decided games (0)

PlayerPosTeamGradedO-U-POver %Avg vs closeAvg close
Baker MayfieldQBTB31-2-033.3%0.170.5
Bo NixQBDEN31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Bryce YoungQBCAR33-0-0100%0.830.5
Caleb WilliamsQBCHI31-2-033.3%0.830.5
Dak PrescottQBDAL30-3-00%-0.50.5
Daniel JonesQBIND33-0-0100%0.830.5
Drake MayeQBNE32-1-066.7%0.830.5
Geno SmithQBNYJ32-1-066.7%0.170.5
J.J. McCarthyQBNYG31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Jared GoffQBDET32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Jayden DanielsQBWAS31-2-033.3%0.170.5
Joe BurrowQBCIN31-2-033.3%0.50.5
Jordan LoveQBGB32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Kirk CousinsQBMIN31-2-033.3%0.50.5
Malik WillisQBMIA32-1-066.7%0.170.5
Matthew StaffordQBLA33-0-0100%0.50.5
Michael Penix Jr.QBATL32-1-066.7%1.170.5
Patrick MahomesQBKC31-2-033.3%-0.170.5
Aaron RodgersQBPIT21-1-050%00.5
Brock PurdyQBSF22-0-0100%10.5
C.J. StroudQBHOU21-1-050%00.5
Cam WardQBTEN21-1-050%00.5
Deshaun WatsonQBCLE21-1-050%00.5
Jacoby BrissettQBBAL21-1-050%00.5
Josh AllenQBBUF22-0-0100%0.50.5
Justin HerbertQBLAC22-0-0100%10.5
Kyler MurrayQBMIN21-1-050%00.5
Sam DarnoldQBSEA22-0-0100%0.50.5
Tanner McKeeQBPHI22-0-0100%0.50.5
Trevor LawrenceQBJAX20-2-00%-0.50.5
Tyler ShoughQBNO21-1-050%00.5
Carson WentzQBMIN11-0-0100%1.50.5
Drew LockQBSEA10-1-00%-0.50.5
Gardner MinshewQBARI10-1-00%-0.50.5
Joe FagnanoQBBAL11-0-0100%1.50.5
Joe Milton IIIQBPHI10-1-00%-0.50.5
Lamar JacksonQBBAL10-1-00%-0.50.5
Shedeur SandersQBCLE10-1-00%-0.50.5
Tyler HuntleyQBBAL11-0-0100%0.50.5
All players, Interceptions thrown——8849-39-055.7%0.280.5

Data as of 2026-11-13 01:15 UTCSource: Kelly's consensus closing line: each book's last price before the start, margin removed, then averaged; nflverse data (CC BY 4.0)Seasons 2026, regular season and playoffs; each player-game graded against that game's own closing line (Kelly's consensus before the start), main lines only, pushes counted apart.Rates under 10 decided games are marked as small samples and left out of the ranks.A prop's history is a count of past games against each game's own closing line: never an edge, a fair price or a pick.