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Kelly

Week 10 Kicker rankings

Week 10 of the 2026 NFL season · byes: CHI, DEN, PHI, TB

Tyler Bass is Kelly's top Week 10 kicker at 9.0 projected Half-PPR points (range 3.0 to 17.0). Next: Chris Boswell (8.0) and Ka'imi Fairbairn (8.0).

Week 10 rankings, Half-PPR (26)

Showing (26) of (26) · Now · Sorted by Proj, high to low · Compared with players at the same position (26 players)

PlayerPosTeamPos rankProjFloorCeilingRangeOver repl.Play %StatusOpp
Tyler BassKBUF1931714199.8%Not listedat NYJ
Chris BoswellKPIT2821614099.8%Not listedat CIN
Ka'imi FairbairnKHOU2831714099.8%Not listedat CLE
Harrison ButkerKKC2821513099.8%Not listedat ATL
Eddy PineiroKSF2831613099.8%Not listedat DAL
Evan McPhersonKCIN2831714099.8%Not listedvs PIT
Brandon AubreyKDAL2831613099.8%Not listedvs SF
Jake BatesKDET2821614099.8%Not listedvs NE
Cam LittleKJAX2831714099.8%Not listedat TEN
Spencer ShraderKIND2821614099.8%Not listedvs MIA
Andy BorregalesKNE2821513099.8%Not listedat DET
Trey SmackKGB2821614099.8%Not listedvs MIN
Nick FolkKATL13721513-199.8%Not listedvs KC
Brandon McManusKLA13721513-199.8%Not listedat ARI
Jason MyersKSEA13721513-199.8%Not listedat LV
Jason SandersKNYJ13721614-199.8%Not listedvs BUF
Joey SlyeKTEN13711514-199.8%Not listedvs JAX
Matt GayKLV13721614-199.8%Not listedvs SEA
Cameron DickerKLAC13711514-199.8%Not listedat BAL
Andre SzmytKCLE13711514-199.8%Not listedvs HOU
Chad RylandKARI13721513-199.8%Not listedvs LA
Will ReichardKMIN13711615-199.8%Not listedat GB
Ryan FitzgeraldKCAR13721513-199.8%Not listedat NO
Dominic ZvadaKNYG13721614-199.8%Not listedvs WAS
Drew StevensKWAS13721513-199.8%Not listedat NYG
Joshua KartyKLA26611312-299.8%Not listedat ARI
Starter average (K1–K12)———8.12.516.213.70.199.8%——
Replacement (K12)——2821614099.8%——

Data as of 2026-11-13 13:36 UTCSource: Kelly's projections: the engine's simulated games scored in each public format; nflverse data (CC BY 4.0), scored by Kelly; Kelly's consensus of the books it tracks; Forecast: National Weather Service; NFL injury reports via nflverseWeek 10, Half-PPR scoring; projection ens-fit-2026w10-mkt-2026-w10-2026-11-13+mkt-closing-2026-w10.Starters are a 12-team league's (K1–K12); replacement is the last of them.Per-game figures from fewer than 4 games are marked as small samples.On bye, so not ranked: CHI, DEN, PHI, TB.

How Kelly's Week 9 projections did (168)

Every projection Kelly stored before Week 9 kicked off, against what each player scored. Inside the range (113) of (168), 67.3%; mean miss 5.0 points. The stored range is the 20th to 80th percentile, so a calibrated one holds about 60%.

Showing (168) of (168) · Now · Sorted by Projected, high to low · Compared with last week's checked players (168)

PlayerPosTeamProjectedLowHighScoredMissIn range
Joe BurrowQBCIN22.31431.229.57.2Inside
Drake MayeQBNE19.812.127.718.3-1.5Inside
Josh AllenQBBUF19.7122812.9-6.8Inside
Jahmyr GibbsRBDET19.311.829.213.4-5.9Inside
Brock PurdyQBSF18.511.426.225.36.8Inside
Jared GoffQBDET17.610.724.95.3-12.3Below
Kirk CousinsQBLV17.210.324.412.6-4.6Inside
Dak PrescottQBDAL17.110.424.419.52.4Inside
Jayden DanielsQBWAS16.810.223.514.6-2.2Inside
Jordan LoveQBGB16.79.723.936.219.5Above
Trevor LawrenceQBJAX16.79.723.813.6-3.1Inside
Caleb WilliamsQBCHI16.610.123.412.8-3.8Inside
Patrick MahomesQBKC16.19.723.116.50.4Inside
C.J. StroudQBHOU16.19.52335.419.3Above
Christian McCaffreyRBSF15.98.724.921.75.8Inside
Matthew StaffordQBLA15.89.322.911.2-4.6Inside
Tyler ShoughQBNO15.7922.919.74Inside
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWRSEA15.68.126.38.6-7Inside
Malik WillisQBMIA15.58.822.43.8-11.7Below
Bo NixQBDEN15.28.921.915.70.5Inside
Kenneth Walker IIIRBKC15.18.823.834.319.2Above
James CookRBBUF14.88.223.616.71.9Inside
Sam DarnoldQB—14.78.521.40-14.7Below
Bryce YoungQBCAR14.38.120.920.36Inside
Kyler MurrayQB—13.98.120.10-13.9Below
D'Andre SwiftRBCHI13.97.522.33.1-10.8Below
Puka NacuaWRLA13.97.423.32814.1Above
Geno SmithQBNYJ13.77.720.17.4-6.3Below
Chuba HubbardRBCAR13.77.721.611.6-2.1Inside
Bijan RobinsonRBATL13.67.821.423.710.1Above
Michael Penix Jr.QBATL13.47.319.713.50.1Inside
Deshaun WatsonQB—13.38.119.30-13.3Below
Javonte WilliamsRBDAL13.37.121.220.47.1Inside
Kyren WilliamsRBLA137.220.67.6-5.4Inside
Bucky IrvingRBTB12.86.920.226.513.7Above
Tee HigginsWRCIN12.86.52217.74.9Inside
Jonathan TaylorRBIND12.36.6206.9-5.4Inside
Justin HerbertQBLAC12.26.81810.4-1.8Inside
Braelon AllenRBNYJ12.26.819.64.4-7.8Below
Malik NabersWRNYG11.86.320.56.8-5Inside
Ja'Marr ChaseWRCIN11.85.92026.514.7Above
CeeDee LambWRDAL11.65.719.928.516.9Above
Derrick HenryRBBAL10.95.417.75.6-5.3Inside
George KittleTESF10.95.119.47.8-3.1Inside
Brock BowersTELV10.95.219.218.87.9Inside
Amon-Ra St. BrownWRDET10.85.618.712.61.8Inside
Bhayshul TutenRBJAX10.73.618.58.9-1.8Inside
Josh JacobsRBGB10.75.217.90.5-10.2Below
Rhamondre StevensonRBNE10.35.417.213.33Inside
Chase BrownRBCIN10.25.616.99-1.2Inside
Cam SkatteboRB—10.15.516.70-10.1Below
Christian WatsonWRGB10.14.81826.616.5Above
Zach CharbonnetRBSEA9.94.4179.1-0.8Inside
Matthew GoldenWRGB9.94.717.527.417.5Above
Quinshon JudkinsRBCLE9.84.716.75-4.8Inside
Ashton JeantyRBLV9.84.6174.5-5.3Below
Luther Burden IIIWRCHI9.84.917.517.27.4Inside
Trey McBrideTEARI9.74.6178.9-0.8Inside
Jameson WilliamsWRDET9.64.317.24.5-5.1Inside
Zay FlowersWRBAL9.64.816.83.8-5.8Below
Ollie Gordon IIRBMIA9.54.8166.9-2.6Inside
Chris OlaveWRNO9.34.616.913.34Inside
Jonah ColemanRBDEN9.24.515.716.87.6Above
Tyler AllgeierRBARI94.415.55.6-3.4Inside
Tetairoa McMillanWRCAR94.616.113.64.6Inside
Blake CorumRBLA8.93.815.411.82.9Inside
Drake LondonWRATL8.84.515.89.30.5Inside
Emanuel WilsonRB—8.73.715.50-8.7Below
Aaron JonesRBMIN8.64.314.82.6-6Below
George PickensWR—8.54.115.50-8.5Below
Woody MarksRBHOU8.44.214.77.9-0.5Inside
Michael WilsonWRARI8.43.91690.6Inside
Rashee RiceWRKC8.43.715.77.4-1Inside
Harold Fannin Jr.TECLE8.13.715.111.23.1Inside
Cairo SantosKCHI841391Inside
Jason MyersKSEA84136-2Inside
Ka'imi FairbairnKHOU8413179Above
Harrison ButkerKKC84134-4Inside
Eddy PineiroKSF841380Inside
Matt GayKLV84137-1Inside
Chase McLaughlinKTB8413102Inside
Tyler BassKBUF8413135Inside
Evan McPhersonKCIN8413135Inside
Brandon AubreyKDAL841391Inside
Jake BatesKDET8413157Above
Cam LittleKJAX8413179Above
Spencer ShraderKIND8413168Above
Andy BorregalesKNE84123-5Below
Jacksonville Jaguars D/STDSTJAX8414113Inside
Seattle Seahawks D/STDSTSEA8313102Inside
Justin JeffersonWRMIN7.93.415.37.3-0.6Inside
Isaiah LikelyTENYG7.93.514.413.85.9Inside
Omar Cooper Jr.WRNYJ7.83.314.89.82Inside
Saquon BarkleyRBPHI7.63.313.88.20.6Inside
Colston LovelandTECHI7.63.414.27.4-0.2Inside
Alvin KamaraRBNO7.53.313.46.4-1.1Inside
Garrett WilsonWR—7.53.414.50-7.5Below
Stefon DiggsWRWAS7.42.914.46.6-0.8Inside
Rachaad WhiteRBWAS7.2313.47.90.7Inside
Nico CollinsWRHOU7.23.11413.56.3Inside
Tucker KraftTEGB7.23.113.41.4-5.8Below
Parker WashingtonWRJAX7.1314.313.16Inside
Omarion HamptonRBLAC73.112.96-1Inside
Sam LaPortaTEDET73.113.35.2-1.8Inside
Tyler WarrenTEIND73.2136.4-0.6Inside
Nick FolkKATL73124-3Inside
Brandon McManusKLA741281Inside
Wil LutzKDEN731292Inside
Zane GonzalezKMIA7413103Inside
Daniel CarlsonK—73120-7Below
Jason SandersKNYJ7412158Above
Cameron DickerKLAC7311136Above
Andre SzmytKCLE7312136Above
Chad RylandKARI73123-4Inside
Will ReichardKMIN731292Inside
Houston Texans D/STDSTHOU7312125Inside
Kenny GainwellRBTB6.83.412.59.12.3Inside
J.K. DobbinsRBDEN6.82.912.42.7-4.1Below
DeMario DouglasWRNE6.82.813.712.75.9Inside
T.J. HockensonTEMIN6.8313.15.3-1.5Inside
Keenan AllenWRIND6.73.212.94.6-2.1Inside
Caleb DouglasWRMIA6.72.813.6103.3Inside
Ryan FlournoyWRDAL6.52.713.16.3-0.2Inside
Tre TuckerWRLV6.52.613.17.51Inside
Mike GesickiTECIN6.5212.82.1-4.4Inside
Travis KelceTEKC6.52.912.615.38.8Above
Jalen CokerWRCAR6.42.712.94.6-1.8Inside
Malik WashingtonWRMIA6.4312.43.1-3.3Inside
Devaughn VeleWRNO6.42.712.82.7-3.7Inside
Adonai MitchellWRNYJ6.32.712.80-6.3Below
Rome OdunzeWRCHI6.22.912.4147.8Above
Dallas GoedertTEPHI6.22.811.97.51.3Inside
Khalil ShakirWRBUF62.7127.81.8Inside
Makai LemonWRPHI62.7129.13.1Inside
Dalton KincaidTEBUF62.611.64.3-1.7Inside
Chicago Bears D/STDSTCHI6211148Above
Denver Broncos D/STDSTDEN621171Inside
Detroit Lions D/STDSTDET621193Inside
Minnesota Vikings D/STDSTMIN621160Inside
New England Patriots D/STDSTNE6211-1-7Below
New Orleans Saints D/STDSTNO631271Inside
New York Giants D/STDSTNYG6211159Above
Jordan MasonRBMIN5.92.611.65.2-0.7Inside
Kyle PittsTEATL5.92123.8-2.1Inside
Hunter HenryTENE5.92.611.55-0.9Inside
Mike Washington Jr.RBLV5.82.911.3-0.3-6.1Below
Brenton StrangeTEJAX5.82.711.23.2-2.6Inside
Greg DulcichTEMIA5.82.7112.4-3.4Below
Michael MayerTELV5.52.610.73.2-2.3Inside
Dalton SchultzTEHOU5.32.510.35.2-0.1Inside
Mason TaylorTENYJ51.910.71.6-3.4Below
Buffalo Bills D/STDSTBUF52101510Above
Carolina Panthers D/STDSTCAR5193-2Inside
Cincinnati Bengals D/STDSTCIN52103-2Inside
Cleveland Browns D/STDSTCLE521072Inside
Dallas Cowboys D/STDSTDAL51961Inside
Green Bay Packers D/STDSTGB5210127Above
Kansas City Chiefs D/STDSTKC5210116Above
Los Angeles Rams D/STDSTLA5210127Above
Los Angeles Chargers D/STDSTLAC5110-1-6Below
San Francisco 49ers D/STDSTSF52101712Above
Tampa Bay Buccaneers D/STDSTTB5110116Above
Washington Commanders D/STDSTWAS51961Inside
Tyler HigbeeTELA4.31.69.71.8-2.5Inside
Juwan JohnsonTENO4.11.69.510.46.3Above
Chig OkonkwoTEWAS41.58.88.74.7Inside
Arizona Cardinals D/STDSTARI4081-3Inside
Atlanta Falcons D/STDSTATL4191-3Inside

Data as of 2026-11-13 13:36 UTCSource: Kelly's projections: the engine's simulated games scored in each public format; nflverse data (CC BY 4.0), scored by KellyWeek 9 board, Half-PPR scoring, published before kickoff; each position's top 36 (24 at QB, TE, K and DST), as Kelly's accuracy job scores it.Inside the range (113) of (168) (67.3%); mean miss 5.0 points. A well-calibrated 20th-to-80th range holds about 60% of results.

Questions

Who is the top quarterback for Week 10?
Joe Burrow (CIN), projected 22.2 Half-PPR points with a range of 8.5 to 35.3.
Who is the top running back for Week 10?
Jahmyr Gibbs (DET), projected 16.8 Half-PPR points with a range of 6.7 to 31.7.
Who is the top wide receiver for Week 10?
Puka Nacua (LA), projected 16.0 Half-PPR points with a range of 5.8 to 34.2.
Who is the top tight end for Week 10?
Brock Bowers (LV), projected 10.5 Half-PPR points with a range of 2.9 to 24.3.
Who is the top kicker for Week 10?
Tyler Bass (BUF), projected 9.0 Half-PPR points with a range of 3.0 to 17.0.
Who is the top defense for Week 10?
Green Bay Packers D/ST (GB), projected 8.0 Half-PPR points with a range of 2.0 to 17.0.
What do the floor and ceiling mean?
They are the 10th and 90th percentiles of Kelly's 10,000 simulated games for each player: he scores below his floor in 1 game in 10 and above his ceiling in 1 game in 10. The projection is the median.
Which teams are on bye in Week 10?
CHI, DEN, PHI, TB.
What is points over replacement?
A player's points minus the replacement player's at his position: the last starter in a 12-team league (QB12, RB24, WR36, TE12, K12, DST12). It puts every position on one scale for flex and trade decisions.