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Kelly

Week 10 Kicker rankings, Standard

Week 10 of the 2026 NFL season · byes: CHI, DEN, PHI, TB

Tyler Bass is Kelly's top Week 10 kicker at 9.0 projected Standard points (range 3.0 to 17.0). Next: Chris Boswell (8.0) and Ka'imi Fairbairn (8.0).

Week 10 rankings, Standard (26)

Showing (26) of (26) · Now · Sorted by Proj, high to low · Compared with players at the same position (26 players)

PlayerPosTeamPos rankProjFloorCeilingRangeOver repl.Play %StatusOpp
Tyler BassKBUF1931714199.8%Not listedat NYJ
Chris BoswellKPIT2821614099.8%Not listedat CIN
Ka'imi FairbairnKHOU2831714099.8%Not listedat CLE
Harrison ButkerKKC2821513099.8%Not listedat ATL
Eddy PineiroKSF2831613099.8%Not listedat DAL
Evan McPhersonKCIN2831714099.8%Not listedvs PIT
Brandon AubreyKDAL2831613099.8%Not listedvs SF
Jake BatesKDET2821614099.8%Not listedvs NE
Cam LittleKJAX2831714099.8%Not listedat TEN
Spencer ShraderKIND2821614099.8%Not listedvs MIA
Andy BorregalesKNE2821513099.8%Not listedat DET
Trey SmackKGB2821614099.8%Not listedvs MIN
Nick FolkKATL13721513-199.8%Not listedvs KC
Brandon McManusKLA13721513-199.8%Not listedat ARI
Jason MyersKSEA13721513-199.8%Not listedat LV
Jason SandersKNYJ13721614-199.8%Not listedvs BUF
Joey SlyeKTEN13711514-199.8%Not listedvs JAX
Matt GayKLV13721614-199.8%Not listedvs SEA
Cameron DickerKLAC13711514-199.8%Not listedat BAL
Andre SzmytKCLE13711514-199.8%Not listedvs HOU
Chad RylandKARI13721513-199.8%Not listedvs LA
Will ReichardKMIN13711615-199.8%Not listedat GB
Ryan FitzgeraldKCAR13721513-199.8%Not listedat NO
Dominic ZvadaKNYG13721614-199.8%Not listedvs WAS
Drew StevensKWAS13721513-199.8%Not listedat NYG
Joshua KartyKLA26611312-299.8%Not listedat ARI
Starter average (K1–K12)———8.12.516.213.70.199.8%——
Replacement (K12)——2821614099.8%——

Data as of 2026-11-13 14:54 UTCSource: Kelly's projections: the engine's simulated games scored in each public format; nflverse data (CC BY 4.0), scored by Kelly; Kelly's consensus of the books it tracks; Forecast: National Weather Service; NFL injury reports via nflverseWeek 10, Standard scoring; projection ens-fit-2026w10-mkt-2026-w10-2026-11-13+mkt-closing-2026-w10.Starters are a 12-team league's (K1–K12); replacement is the last of them.Per-game figures from fewer than 4 games are marked as small samples.On bye, so not ranked: CHI, DEN, PHI, TB.

How Kelly's Week 9 projections did (168)

Every projection Kelly stored before Week 9 kicked off, against what each player scored. Inside the range (107) of (168), 63.7%; mean miss 4.7 points. The stored range is the 20th to 80th percentile, so a calibrated one holds about 60%.

Showing (168) of (168) · Now · Sorted by Projected, high to low · Compared with last week's checked players (168)

PlayerPosTeamProjectedLowHighScoredMissIn range
Joe BurrowQBCIN22.31431.229.57.2Inside
Drake MayeQBNE19.812.127.718.3-1.5Inside
Josh AllenQBBUF19.7122812.9-6.8Inside
Brock PurdyQBSF18.511.426.225.36.8Inside
Jared GoffQBDET17.610.724.95.3-12.3Below
Jahmyr GibbsRBDET17.310.226.813.4-3.9Inside
Kirk CousinsQBLV17.210.324.412.6-4.6Inside
Dak PrescottQBDAL17.110.424.419.52.4Inside
Jayden DanielsQBWAS16.810.223.514.6-2.2Inside
Jordan LoveQBGB16.79.723.936.219.5Above
Trevor LawrenceQBJAX16.79.723.813.6-3.1Inside
Caleb WilliamsQBCHI16.610.123.412.8-3.8Inside
Patrick MahomesQBKC16.19.723.116.50.4Inside
C.J. StroudQBHOU16.19.52335.419.3Above
Matthew StaffordQBLA15.89.322.911.2-4.6Inside
Tyler ShoughQBNO15.7922.919.74Inside
Malik WillisQBMIA15.58.822.43.8-11.7Below
Bo NixQBDEN15.28.921.915.70.5Inside
Sam DarnoldQB—14.78.521.40-14.7Below
Bryce YoungQBCAR14.38.120.920.36Inside
James CookRBBUF147.622.516.72.7Inside
Kyler MurrayQB—13.98.120.10-13.9Below
Kenneth Walker IIIRBKC13.87.62232.318.5Above
Geno SmithQBNYJ13.77.720.17.4-6.3Below
Christian McCaffreyRBSF13.56.82220.77.2Inside
Michael Penix Jr.QBATL13.47.319.713.50.1Inside
Deshaun WatsonQB—13.38.119.30-13.3Below
D'Andre SwiftRBCHI12.56.220.63.1-9.4Below
Javonte WilliamsRBDAL12.56.320.118.45.9Inside
Bijan RobinsonRBATL12.46.82020.78.3Above
Justin HerbertQBLAC12.26.81810.4-1.8Inside
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWRSEA12.25.621.65.1-7.1Below
Chuba HubbardRBCAR12.16.419.69.6-2.5Inside
Bucky IrvingRBTB11.96.219.224.512.6Above
Kyren WilliamsRBLA11.4618.76.1-5.3Inside
Jonathan TaylorRBIND11.25.618.54.4-6.8Below
Braelon AllenRBNYJ115.818.13.4-7.6Below
Derrick HenryRBBAL10.14.816.75.6-4.5Inside
Tee HigginsWRCIN9.94.618.115.25.3Inside
Bhayshul TutenRBJAX9.73.217.18.9-0.8Inside
Puka NacuaWRLA9.74.517.82111.3Above
Josh JacobsRBGB9.24160.5-8.7Below
Cam SkatteboRB—9.24.915.60-9.2Below
Ollie Gordon IIRBMIA94.415.46.4-2.6Inside
Rhamondre StevensonRBNE8.94.415.411.82.9Inside
Zach CharbonnetRBSEA8.93.515.68.6-0.3Inside
Ja'Marr ChaseWRCIN8.83.815.821.512.7Above
Quinshon JudkinsRBCLE8.63.815.24.5-4.1Inside
Malik NabersWRNYG8.54.1164.3-4.2Inside
CeeDee LambWRDAL8.43.515.623.515.1Above
George KittleTESF8.43.115.65.8-2.6Inside
Blake CorumRBLA8.23.314.611.83.6Inside
Emanuel WilsonRB—8.13.414.80-8.1Below
Brock BowersTELV8.13.115.415.37.2Inside
Jonah ColemanRBDEN83.614.114.86.8Above
Cairo SantosKCHI841391Inside
Jason MyersKSEA84136-2Inside
Ka'imi FairbairnKHOU8413179Above
Harrison ButkerKKC84134-4Inside
Eddy PineiroKSF841380Inside
Matt GayKLV84137-1Inside
Chase McLaughlinKTB8413102Inside
Tyler BassKBUF8413135Inside
Evan McPhersonKCIN8413135Inside
Brandon AubreyKDAL841391Inside
Jake BatesKDET8413157Above
Cam LittleKJAX8413179Above
Spencer ShraderKIND8413168Above
Andy BorregalesKNE84123-5Below
Jacksonville Jaguars D/STDSTJAX8414113Inside
Seattle Seahawks D/STDSTSEA8313102Inside
Chase BrownRBCIN7.9413.97.5-0.4Inside
Jameson WilliamsWRDET7.93.114.84-3.9Inside
Ashton JeantyRBLV7.83.214.42-5.8Below
Tyler AllgeierRBARI7.83.513.94.6-3.2Inside
Christian WatsonWRGB7.63.414.723.115.5Above
Amon-Ra St. BrownWRDET7.53.514.38.61.1Inside
Aaron JonesRBMIN7.43.513.42.1-5.3Below
Matthew GoldenWRGB7.43.114.222.415Above
Woody MarksRBHOU7.33.613.57.40.1Inside
Luther Burden IIIWRCHI7.33.314.113.76.4Inside
Zay FlowersWRBAL7.13.313.62.3-4.8Below
Nick FolkKATL73124-3Inside
Brandon McManusKLA741281Inside
Wil LutzKDEN731292Inside
Zane GonzalezKMIA7413103Inside
Daniel CarlsonK—73120-7Below
Jason SandersKNYJ7412158Above
Cameron DickerKLAC7311136Above
Andre SzmytKCLE7312136Above
Chad RylandKARI73123-4Inside
Will ReichardKMIN731292Inside
Houston Texans D/STDSTHOU7312125Inside
Saquon BarkleyRBPHI6.92.912.88.21.3Inside
Chris OlaveWRNO6.5313.29.83.3Inside
Drake LondonWRATL6.43.112.66.80.4Inside
George PickensWR—6.32.912.60-6.3Below
Tetairoa McMillanWRCAR6.3312.611.65.3Inside
Trey McBrideTEARI6.32.412.85.4-0.9Inside
J.K. DobbinsRBDEN62.511.62.2-3.8Below
Omar Cooper Jr.WRNYJ62.412.45.8-0.2Inside
Chicago Bears D/STDSTCHI6211148Above
Denver Broncos D/STDSTDEN621171Inside
Detroit Lions D/STDSTDET621193Inside
Minnesota Vikings D/STDSTMIN621160Inside
New England Patriots D/STDSTNE6211-1-7Below
New Orleans Saints D/STDSTNO631271Inside
New York Giants D/STDSTNYG6211159Above
Kenny GainwellRBTB5.92.911.47.61.7Inside
Rachaad WhiteRBWAS5.92.111.86.91Inside
Michael WilsonWRARI5.92.412.660.1Inside
Omarion HamptonRBLAC5.82.511.660.2Inside
Rashee RiceWRKC5.72.112.34.9-0.8Inside
Harold Fannin Jr.TECLE5.72.211.910.24.5Inside
Alvin KamaraRBNO5.62.211.24.9-0.7Inside
Jordan MasonRBMIN5.52.511.34.2-1.3Inside
Justin JeffersonWRMIN5.5212.15.80.3Inside
Isaiah LikelyTENYG5.4211.211.35.9Above
Mike GesickiTECIN5.41.210.81.1-4.3Below
Mike Washington Jr.RBLV5.32.610.8-0.3-5.6Below
Parker WashingtonWRJAX5.32.111.912.16.8Above
Nico CollinsWRHOU5.2211.311.56.3Above
Stefon DiggsWRWAS5.11.711.65.10Inside
Caleb DouglasWRMIA51.911.472Inside
Garrett WilsonWR—5211.30-5Below
Colston LovelandTECHI51.910.85.40.4Inside
Buffalo Bills D/STDSTBUF52101510Above
Carolina Panthers D/STDSTCAR5193-2Inside
Cincinnati Bengals D/STDSTCIN52103-2Inside
Cleveland Browns D/STDSTCLE521072Inside
Dallas Cowboys D/STDSTDAL51961Inside
Green Bay Packers D/STDSTGB5210127Above
Kansas City Chiefs D/STDSTKC5210116Above
Los Angeles Rams D/STDSTLA5210127Above
Los Angeles Chargers D/STDSTLAC5110-1-6Below
San Francisco 49ers D/STDSTSF52101712Above
Tampa Bay Buccaneers D/STDSTTB5110116Above
Washington Commanders D/STDSTWAS51961Inside
DeMario DouglasWRNE4.81.811.410.25.4Inside
Tucker KraftTEGB4.81.910.50.9-3.9Below
Sam LaPortaTEDET4.81.910.53.2-1.6Inside
Tre TuckerWRLV4.71.810.95.50.8Inside
Ryan FlournoyWRDAL4.61.710.75.30.7Inside
Rome OdunzeWRCHI4.51.910127.5Above
Adonai MitchellWRNYJ4.51.810.60-4.5Below
Jalen CokerWRCAR4.51.710.52.6-1.9Inside
T.J. HockensonTEMIN4.41.710.23.3-1.1Inside
Travis KelceTEKC4.41.91013.38.9Above
Devaughn VeleWRNO4.21.610.21.7-2.5Inside
Keenan AllenWRIND4.21.89.72.6-1.6Inside
DJ MooreWRBUF4.21.610.13.6-0.6Inside
Jahan DotsonWRATL4.21.6101.6-2.6Inside
Tyler WarrenTEIND4.21.79.74.40.2Inside
Malik WashingtonWRMIA4.11.79.62.1-2Inside
Dalton KincaidTEBUF4.11.79.42.8-1.3Inside
Arizona Cardinals D/STDSTARI4081-3Inside
Atlanta Falcons D/STDSTATL4191-3Inside
Dallas GoedertTEPHI3.91.69.251.1Inside
Hunter HenryTENE3.81.69.13.5-0.3Inside
Brenton StrangeTEJAX3.81.78.72.2-1.6Inside
Greg DulcichTEMIA3.81.78.41.4-2.4Below
Kyle PittsTEATL3.619.42.3-1.3Inside
Michael MayerTELV3.51.58.11.7-1.8Inside
Dalton SchultzTEHOU3.21.47.74.21Inside
Mason TaylorTENYJ30.98.41.1-1.9Inside
Tyler HigbeeTELA2.70.87.71.3-1.4Inside
Darren WallerTECAR2.60.881512.4Above
Juwan JohnsonTENO2.50.87.69.46.9Above

Data as of 2026-11-13 14:54 UTCSource: Kelly's projections: the engine's simulated games scored in each public format; nflverse data (CC BY 4.0), scored by KellyWeek 9 board, Standard scoring, published before kickoff; each position's top 36 (24 at QB, TE, K and DST), as Kelly's accuracy job scores it.Inside the range (107) of (168) (63.7%); mean miss 4.7 points. A well-calibrated 20th-to-80th range holds about 60% of results.

Questions

Who is the top quarterback for Week 10?
Joe Burrow (CIN), projected 22.2 Standard points with a range of 8.5 to 35.3.
Who is the top running back for Week 10?
Jahmyr Gibbs (DET), projected 15.3 Standard points with a range of 5.8 to 29.7.
Who is the top wide receiver for Week 10?
Puka Nacua (LA), projected 11.5 Standard points with a range of 3.5 to 27.2.
Who is the top tight end for Week 10?
Brock Bowers (LV), projected 7.9 Standard points with a range of 1.6 to 19.9.
Who is the top kicker for Week 10?
Tyler Bass (BUF), projected 9.0 Standard points with a range of 3.0 to 17.0.
Who is the top defense for Week 10?
Green Bay Packers D/ST (GB), projected 8.0 Standard points with a range of 2.0 to 17.0.
What do the floor and ceiling mean?
They are the 10th and 90th percentiles of Kelly's 10,000 simulated games for each player: he scores below his floor in 1 game in 10 and above his ceiling in 1 game in 10. The projection is the median.
Which teams are on bye in Week 10?
CHI, DEN, PHI, TB.
What is points over replacement?
A player's points minus the replacement player's at his position: the last starter in a 12-team league (QB12, RB24, WR36, TE12, K12, DST12). It puts every position on one scale for flex and trade decisions.